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The Coming World War on ProsperityI have vacillated over putting up this piece for quite a while now, on a couple of different grounds. First, it is (again) on the long side and I was and still am unsure about its suitability and interest for the readership. Second, it is a couple of years old now and has been previously presented elsewhere in a somewhat different format. Concern about its topicality was another reason for hesitation, but that dissipated in the wake of the remarkable intransigence, bellicosity even, of the developing countries at the recent Copenhagen conference. With China, inevitably, in the van to the aghast dismay of western leaders. It was this astonishing and unprecedented spectacle that reminded me again of the following citation of Eberhard Sandschneider, director of the German Institute of Foreign Affairs at a closed door conference in 2004:
A few years have passed since then, and I believe we have just had the first lesson. The first of many to come. It is certainly a hard-hitting and uncompromising piece, far different in tone from the sunnily-optimistic paeans to globalisation that routinely appear in the English-language business press and general media. It’s all the more interesting for its continental European perspective, a welcome change from the usual ‘Anglospheric’ context in which the matter is usually placed. So here, then, is the magazine’s front cover, which slyly caricatures a very well-known Chinese cultural artifact (and symbol of power) to set the scene and encapsulate the fundamental theme in Steingart’s message. When crudely boiled down that reads: Asia’s Rise Means Our Demise. I think it is one message that we dismiss at our peril.
The Onslaught from the Orient: a World War for Prosperity This will be immediately followed by the article translation in several parts at intervals of a day or two; any errors and omissions are of course entirely mine. Please note that not all of the illustrations in the original article are included, although each one present does retain its original (translated) caption as in the article.
Part I of Onslaught from the Far East – The Worm Turns… If there is such a thing as soothsaying in the modern world, then Jürgen Kluge has it down. The head of International Projects with McKinsey’s German subsidiary looks at the present to divine the future. His medium is neither a crystal ball nor a set of Tarot cards. but a sophisticated computer system called “Production Networks”, which been jointly developed by McKinsey and the Technical University of Darmstadt. In a darkened room on Berlin’s Kurfürstendamm, a world map is projected onto the office wall. Kluge says it helps him better see ‘what’s out there’. The world map originates from a connection to a desktop computer located in Gurgaon, a small town south of Delhi. A handful of Indians work through the German night to keep the computer continually refreshed with raw data on a variety of topics. How high are the wages, taxes, customs duties, and freight charges in each of the 182 countries in the world? Who is in charge? Who is protesting? How powerful are the unions? In short: how stable is each country for those who might wish to invest there?
Morning roll-call at a factory in Changsha Who’s in charge? Who protests?
For metal struts of every description, India is the place, says the system. Textile products for sale to Middle America? That would be Bangladesh. Computers are best manufactured in Taiwan, China or Malaysia. It’s the Asian countries that the system overwhelmingly chooses, and more often than not, China and India with their billion-plus populations. “In Germany”, says Kluge, “the lights blink very occasionally”. Apparently the last occasion was when a contractor was seeking the cheapest source for a large supply of aggregate for a local road-building project. “Production Networks” has attained a considerable following among leadership circles in German business. It’s also become something of a hot tip amongst investors. They are lining up to take the McKinsey tour through the twilight world of Globalization. As one of the McKinsey managers involved with the project states, not without a note of pride: “We assist them to export their problems”. In such a fashion the world of tomorrow becomes increasingly visible. A new topology of power and wealth is emerging, which for millions in the West holds little cheer: Asia’s rise presages our own decline. Life will become harder, above all wherever those lights no longer blink. Investors will slip away, and prosperity will dwindle also. For those who must stay put, nagging primeval fears arise that are hardly assuaged by glowing business results. The future appears for many Germans in the meantime to offer a unique combination of threats – to their own livelihoods, their families, and even to their personal raison d’être. The collapse of the crafts-based industries, the vulnerability of the smaller enterprises, the incessantly growing worklessness, and the by-now familiar routine of wage reductions and benefits cutbacks spreads despondency even amongst those who have it so good up to now. It’s all too baffling. In the hour of danger, western politicians react in a confused and contradictory manner. They laud the benefits of globalization, while at the same time seeking voter buy-in to an imminent ‘Age of Shortages’. They have become so concerned about the electoral consequences of acknowledging the actual realities that they try to act as though they don’t exist. Opinion surveys paint a consistent picture of a society which feels a deep insecurity, that is not at peace with itself. The population senses that they were born into a world that is going away. What they perceive in Asia is not a continuation of their present age, but the beginning of a new one. If Richard Hilmer, head of pollsters Infratest-dimap is asked whether his surveys can determine what it is that people most fervently wish for, he replies, after a brief pause: “The majority yearn for an economic Messiah”. It might be the case that confronting the realities will help. Going forward, Westerners can opt to consider the Asians as adversaries or they can continue with the outmoded perception that they are merely developing economies. It would be better to view these countries for what they really are: Aggressor States. What began in Japan, and continued with the city-states of Singapore and Hong Kong, and finally embraced the ‘Tiger’ economies of South Korea and Taiwan has transformed the continent into an economic zone of intensely focused energy. It contains enormous numbers of people, who now are collectively reaching for the stars. If its upward path is even only half-realised, China will replace the USA as the economic superpower in less than 35 years. India follows behind. Going on for 2.5 billion people, more than five times the population of Europe, are now attempting to give their story a happy twist. Certainly their recent economic successes have been quite stunning. In the Industrial Revolution, it took Britain 60 years to double its per capita GDP; the US took around 40 years, Japan about the same, Indonesia in 17, and the Chinese in a mere 12. We are eyewitnesses to an extraordinary outburst of vitality, as ex-Chancellor Helmut Schmidt has termed it. Following two world wars, the world’s centre of gravity moved from Europe to America, and is now in the process of moving again, this time to Asia. The curtain is coming down on the era of Western dominance. Industrialisation, which began in Europe in the 18C provided the foundations for the capitalist system that carried the West to unparalleled heights. A breathtaking acceleration got underway that uncoupled first Europe, and then the USA, from the rest of the world. It was as if a fuse had been lit everywhere in the West. In 1800 an Italian invented the electric battery, and a Frenchman the sewing machine. The English launched the first iron ship in 1838, while by the end of the 1820s photography had come into being. Practically every country on the continent made an important contribution of some sort, even the smallest. A Swede invented dynamite; a Bohemian the ship’s propeller. Indians and Chinese, whose per capita income had kept pace with Europe until around 1500, were the big losers in this dash for prosperity. Knowledge exploded, but not in their countries. The economy blossomed, but far away from their view. Humanity was now partitioned into the technological have-nothings and the owners of the new wonder tools. The ‘economic dominant’, according to French economic scientist Francois Perroux, was for many decades Great Britain, followed by the US after the two world wars as the new ‘Masters of the Universe’. It is exactly this status quo that is now coming under assault. The Western economic machine continues to run strongly, however it is shortly to be overhauled by a stronger. The western values of freedom and democracy still hold sway, but they are far from universally observed. Life in New York, Paris, London and Berlin goes on much as before, however a newer, higher ‘culture’ is arising in the Far East, whose self-confidence could all too easily change into bravado. Up to this point the West has made no attempt at any threat analysis. In these challenging times both friends and opponents can be erroneously confused. Advocates for globalisation believe that, with the backing of a global financial market, they can expand their economic reach more-or-less risk-free. The drivers of the process, many such advocates believe, will automatically be the ones that profit from it. Opponents, of course, look at the world through different coloured glasses. From their perspective the international economic interdependency relies principally on continuing exploitation of the third world. The Western nations for them are a kind of nature reserve stocked with profiteers. In truth, the winners and losers in the World war over prosperity have undergone a role reversal. The new strength of the Asians leads to a loss of strength for the West. At a recent conference attended by many Asian government ministers, German federal Labour Minister and Vice-president Franz Müntefering did not mince words in his condemnation of the harsh conditions prevalent in the world labour market. Starvation wages, dreadful conditions, and an oppressive work environment are simply unacceptable, he maintained and added “We [in the West] do not intend to compete with one arm tied behind our back”. The assembled ministers remained silent. The aspirant world superpowers in Asia are already more imposing than the old Soviet Union ever was. Their case is based on the industry of millions of people and not on the propaganda spouted by functionaries. The most important productive force these people bring is nothing more and nothing less that their complete determination to add a brilliant new chapter to their present history. We are looking in the eyes of an opponent that has unequivocally and implacably committed to ending their existence at the lower reaches of the prosperity scale. Any faint hopes that the Western states may have secretly held that China’s supercharged growth will be retarded through social unrest or ecological collapse are completely false ones. There is at present little prospect that they will come to fulfillment. Even the western countries with balance of payments surpluses are necessarily among the winners in world trade. The history of German export success is also a history of defeats. The bill for the title of runner-up in the world export stakes has had to be settled internally. Competitiveness in world export markets and the decline of domestic enterprise are two sides of the same coin. One participant after the other has had to abandon the boat of the social-market-economy so that the others, freed of that ballast, can increase their tempo. The many boats of the social-market-economy hardly have any such increase to brag about. It is the State, unceasingly occupied with salvage operations, into whose care the capsized always land, as well as every person who now can only observe the proud export fleet, to which they formerly proudly belonged, from a far distant vantage point in the rear. Seven million Germans, almost ten percent of the population, now receive some form of unemployment compensation.
The expansion of Asian manufacturing and their universities has affected Europe and USA far more than did the Cold war. The Cold War united the West. Countries of very different traditions bonded together, not only in spirit but also in NATO. Corporations on both sides of the Atlantic found themselves in commercial competition, but that was however a competition between equals. They were partners and competitors at once: Ford and GM became huge, and so did VW and Fiat. Goldman Sachs and Citigroup covered the world, Deutsche Bank and Credit Lyonnais followed suit. In the slipstream of the dollar, the Deutsche Mark flourished. Billions of people, basically the entire working populations of China, the USSR, the Comecon countries and India were simply not present either as commercial competitors or as participants in the world labour market. They still lived and worked, but in a separate, strangely foreign galaxy. The Western world was thus in complete order, precisely because the rest was in such disorder. Our life seemed serene, because the other world seemed so obviously dysfunctional. This Western worldview is now ripped apart. Many have in recent years lost their belief in Western pre-eminence, and even the effectiveness of its economic and political systems alert to be aware of something completely new at foot. Democracies depend on open markets, was the eternal mantra. But such does not preclude the opposite: open markets do not necessarily result in democracy. Concerns surface, dark mutterings go the rounds, that things are not quite as straightforward as they once were. In April 2004, a remarkable closed-doors conference took place within the grey confines of the Berlin Zoo, under the auspices of the German Institute for Foreign Affairs. The conference attendees included investment bankers, Ministers of State past and present, and prominent business leaders. The theme was “China as an emergent economic power” and it was, apparently, addressed with unusual candour. The German “China Euphoria” is unparallel anywhere else in the world, reported the Vice-president of Asian Operations for Siemens. However, according to Eberhard Sandschneider, director of the Institute, the German debate says more about shortsighted German business interests than it does about China. In the USA there have been “.. warnings ranging from straightforward concerns about business competitiveness to broader geopolitical questions”. In Japan developments in China are being viewed “with grave misgiving”, which the Middle Kingdom has chosen to characterise as “a priori provocations”. For himself, Sandschneider observed that “at the moment, China has to abide by rules devised by the West”. In a few years, however, that will cease to be the case and at that point “The lessons for the West will commence”. The minutes of this secret conference were subsequently stamped “Confidential – own eyes only”.
Part II - 1.5 billion extra workersThe Asian challenge has divided the West, such that its business interests have chosen to collaborate with both state and commercial competitors in the Far East. They utilise the transformed productive capabilities the East offers, at least as long as it appears beneficial to their own interests. Capitalists will only insert themselves into situations in which high returns are expected. Whether it involves erecting a factory under the palm trees, or driving piles into the permafrost, their sole motivation is the belief that, at the end of the year, there will be more money in the account than at the beginning. The most important goal of Capital is to multiply itself. Should the opposite happen, nobody would benefit, certainly not the workforce. As a rule, once capital flees, the jobs disappear also. The immediate outcry in the media is of ‘mismanagement’, followed thereafter by ‘crisis’, ‘recovery plan’, and finally ‘workforce restructuring’. In the final analysis, the long-term viability of employment depends upon the answer to a single question: what is the prospect of transforming the present capital into yet more capital? No capitalist is going to sit still whilst his investment declines from to day to day. If he were to do so, he would soon find himself outside the entrepreneurial ranks. Capital and capitalism have a symbiotic relationship; neither can exist without the other. They are irrevocably bonded and betrothed. States such as the former East Germany, which attempted though expropriation to separate private owners from their capital eventually came to rue it. Work and workers enjoy no such symbiosis, and this has operated to the disadvantage of workers since the very beginning. The comings and goings of workers across national borders can be restricted; however border guards have no jurisdiction over the cross-border migration of work opportunities as such, only the workers themselves. That Western countries have so far actually managed to maintain any control at all over their internal labour markets is actually one of the miracles of the post-war age.
[Ed.: the banner reads “ Don’t take our work(place) away from us. We built it up for ourselves]
In the past there was very little to distinguish the labour markets in Europe and North America. The corporations on both sides of the Atlantic were competitors, but not adversaries as such. They paid wages not pittances. Children were allowed to be children and not serfs. Civil society ensured that a civilised relationship existed between employers and workers, thereby placing all the wasted decades of exploitation and class warfare well and truly in the distant past. [In the past] Western capital had kept its distance from the galaxy of poverty elsewhere. It bought certain products and materials from them, but never settled itself there, and that’s one reason why there was never any great tendency for Western jobs to migrate away. However this gulf between the West and the rest of the world has now been bridged. The capitalists storm adventurously across and, taking full advantage of the recently won freedom to travel anywhere, they stand there poised, with the map of the world unfolded. They visit the most out-of-the-way places with the express intent to set up shop there. In 1980 the grand total of all foreign direct investment (FDI), that is money invested abroad, amounted to only $500 billion. The capitalist of the old school was a homely type. In the meantime the FDI has risen to $10 trillion each year, a 2000% climb in just 25 years. The modern capitalist is a frequent flier with bonus card, he is at home everywhere and at the same time he is everywhere a stranger. Ask him if he is a patriot and be prepared for his look of bafflement. The worlds’ job opportunities travel along with the modern, peripatetic capitalist. They disappear from the West and resurface elsewhere. They may seep into an Indian software house, or emerge again in a Hungarian toy factory or a Chinese engine assembly plant.
People everywhere are now interconnected through an invisible web. Asia, America and both halves of Europe are now shoved together into a global marketplace for everything that can possibly be traded. Financiers pump their capital through the economic system, and businessmen send their wares along in its wake. And on the global labour market billions of people now find themselves in direct competition. This is the distinguishing feature of present-day Globalisation, and what differentiates it from the industrial capitalism of the middle 19th century. For the first time in history, a unitary economic system has come to the fore that embraces all the necessary factors of production: capital, materials, and human labour. The latter is now a tradable commodity, just as silver and silk were in earlier times. The emergence of a global labour market is an event of historical proportion, as a glance in the direction of the extraordinary number of people who have become a part of it easily demonstrates. In the 1970s, 90 million workers in Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Japan and Taiwan entered into an economic system that, until then, had been populated almost exclusively by Western Europeans and North Americans. The Asian Tiger Economies met with astonishment in the West, in the case of Japan even not a little awe. However, it soon became clear that these newcomers to the global labour market were merely an advance guard. Shortly after, China knocked for admittance, and then followed the disintegration of the Soviet Union, after which Eastern Europe and India signed on. Suddenly, within what is in a historical context the mere the blinking of an eye, an additional 1.5 billion people of working age were offering their services for hire on the global market.
[Ed.: No caption provided; the numbers with the figures represent employers in industrial and service sectors in millions] And what an enormous shift in the relationship of power this represents. The 350 million or so well-educated but expensive people who comprised the workforce of the Western countries, and who even now still produce the lion’s share of global production, now find themselves more or less overnight to have become a small minority. And for them the effects of the increased labour supply are already clearly discernible, but that is far from where it is going to end up. Inside the Asian aggressor states the high birthrates will continue to ensure a practically never-ending stream of new people eager to offer their services on the world labour market. They will want a job, no matter what it costs. In the last ten years the total number of new people who have entered the global market is in excess of 400 million, even though no new state has emerged. According to the ILO in Geneva, a further 200 million would like to work, however no job can be found for them even at the paltry wages they are willing to work for. They are unemployed, which really means they are workers-in-waiting. Many of them have never held a regular job. They form the Lumpenproletariat of urban slum-dwellers, working as manual labourers, day-labourers as and when they can. For obvious reasons this lifestyle does not appeal, so they mob the new factories, the assembly shops, and the building sites, in astonishing numbers. Since the beginning of the 90s the worldwide labour pool has been expanding at the rate of 200,000 per day. They swarm in wherever they suspect there is a prospect of prosperity and expansion, wherever there is even a slim prospect that they may obtain a bigger slice of the pie than the meager one they have today. Expansion of the global labour force on this scale is unprecedented in historical terms. ‘Worker-inflation’ has become a distinct reality, since the increase in supply bears no relationship to the level of demand. Western business interests can hardly contain their joy. Governments everywhere roll out the red carpet, and even their old nemesis, the working class, has become humbly servile. Such a choice of cheap and pliant labour has never before been at their disposal. They get wolf-whistled on every corner. In the banks the stock prices from around the world flicker across the monitors. Within a couple of minutes, or even a few seconds, one can witness the instantaneous convergence of the exchange rates between major currencies. However, if Employment Offices and Labour Exchanges could compare wage rates around the world with the same facility, the civil servants there would be profoundly shocked. In the global market for labour we can see the arbitrage process occurring as happens in the foreign currency markets, and the same trend towards equalisation, if only in slow-motion. The dramatic increase in labour supply has initiated a process, which will quite soon be seen to have dramatic consequences for the middle stratum of western society. Wages and therefore the living standards of ordinary workers are starting to converge around the globe. Capitalism has finally realised the dream of the old Left: equal pay for equal work, except now it’s a worldwide phenomenon. One of the greatest delusions of the age is the belief that the millions of migrant workers in China and the unionised workers in Wolfsburg [Ed.: the main VW production site in Germany] or Detroit have nothing to do with each other. That night appear to be the case, but it really isn’t so. The one knows nothing of Wolfsburg, and the other has only the vaguest notion what it means to be a migrant worker. However their biographies are fatefully bound together. Migrant workers, who often exist in miserably-abject conditions and work without any form of official protection in one of the factories supplying components to the Chinese auto industry are in competition with the full-time unschooled labourers who form the lowest tier of the labour hierarchy within the industry itself. Each one knows about the wages of the other, and the migrant worker fervently hopes for nothing more than to take over the job of the salaried worker. The industry employers are well aware of this and the mutual knowledge sets one against the other. Both are, whether they realise it or not, bitter adversaries in the Wage-conflict. Naturally the labourer in the factory wishes to escape from this competitive environment, and sets himself the goal of rising to the level of a skilled production worker in the same auto factory. Overtime, continuing education, wage restraint – he is prepared to leave no stone unturned. What the migrant worker represents for him, he represents the same thing for the skilled worker – a committed adversary. He will accept the thinnest of wage increases, and forego any representation, merely to advance a step upward. If he succeeds in elevating himself, after a few years experience, he now becomes an adversary of the auto-workers in the west. Personally of course, they are unknown to each other, but economically the two are bound together irrevocably. In the management systems the wages and output of the two parties are stored. They encounter each other as columns of figures. At investment decision time they are run against each other. Nobody should be surprised if it turns out that a cursory look at the financial returns are sufficient to ensure that the investment ends up being made in the Far East or in Eastern Europe, rather than Wolfsburg or Detroit. However, according to the IFI-Institute in Munich, even an immediate freezing of wage-levels throughout Western Europe would have little or no effect. They calculate that even if this step were taken, and wage-levels in the ‘aggressor countries’ merely continued to rise at their current rates, in thirty years’ time income levels there would still be less than half those in the West. It is now quite clearly the case that anyone in the West whose wages are based on nothing more than a union contract, a higher cost-of-living and the western tradition for the coupling of capital and labour, isn’t going to make it through in the future. Experience so far regarding defensive action the part of the unions has been a sobering one for employees. Whenever attempts have been made to halt the process, the end-result has been to accelerate it. The present-day alternative for Americans, Frenchmen and Germans is not a choice between higher or lower wages. The only real alternatives for millions of people in ordinary industrial occupations are now either lower wages or no wages. Anyone who ever believed that the great production apparatus in the Far East and in Eastern Europe would be merely an ancillary component in the world economy has ended up disappointed. The integration of millions of people in Asia has been accompanied by the de-integration of millions in the West. The employees of the departing companies and the workers in the aggressor states are not complementary, but are instead interchangeable and substitutive. It might well be that, after some decades of adjustment, sufficient opportunities will be found for everybody. This is however simply a pipedream, a pious hope. It would be naïve to take it for a present reality. If you look closely enough, it is possible to measure fairly accurately the extent of the loss of jobs in the West, since the productive labour that has been has lost in the West, returns to us in the form of imported products. These products represent nothing other than the displaced labour, that has been transferred somewhere else. From here we can’t look over the shoulders of the workers in Asia and Eastern Europe, but we can identify them from the result of their productive efforts. They send it to us by truck, cargo plane or container ship and the Customs authorities maintain an exact account of all of these deliveries. Between 1997 and 2003 alone, the volume of imports into Germany from low-wage countries more than doubled. During these six years, imports from Hungary grew at an average rate of 17%, and those from China by 14%. Economists speak about ‘import penetration’, that is the penetration into a national economy by the products of another country. This penetration has accelerated in the West, while at the same time production capacity has declined. A number of economic sectors now report an import penetration of over 80%, which means nothing other than that that industry has now departed Europe for a new home in some far-off place. The global migration of work-opportunities goes on with any memorials being erected. There are no eulogies and few tears shed. Companies like Grundig, Saba and Nordmende die [Ed.: long-established German consumer electronics manufacturers), and are succeeded by Mitsubishi, Sony and Samsung. It’s only by looking at tiny product labels that something enormous has been going on outside our field of vision. Toys with the Stieff label are as cuddly as before, however the fine print shows that many of the bears and monkeys have a long journey behind them: “Made in China, Inspected by Stieff”. Even complex products are well suited for this transposition. The latest Apple computer shows on its underside where it was produced: “Designed by Apple in California; Assembled in Taiwan”. Many firms that we take as being British, German or French have in reality already transformed themselves into organisations which now maintain only a minimal physical presence in their home country. They confine themselves to inspecting, developing, testing, packing, shipping, and accounting for products that now produced elsewhere. That might be comforting for inspectors, developers, testers, packers, shippers and accountants, but it is scant consolation for those who until yesterday produced the actual products.
Part III – De-industrialisation and the Social Market Economy
The same experts have pronounced on the demise of the industrial society. But no such thing happened, industrial employment has steeply increased. Worldwide it has increased 16% in the last ten years, resulting in 600 million industrial workers today. Globally, industrial society is in its heyday. Countless regions have been visibly transformed by these events. Liverpool and Manchester, in northwest England, as well as the West Midlands offer up the image of an industrial fleet that has been invalided out. France’s great industrial cities are girdled by a ring of misery. In the deactivated zones of the former Rhine-Ruhr industrial heartland unemployment rates of 25% or more are common. In East Germany a whole region has been industrially disengaged. In the USA, de-industrialisation has progressed even further than in Europe. The growth in imports has led to a historically unique retrenchment in certain industries, reminiscent of what has been underway here closer to home. Factories have migrated in the first place from the expensive north to the cheaper south, but often only as a preamble to departing the country entirely. In the 1950s 35% of American workers still worked in the industrial sector. This declined to 32% in the 1960s, and by the 1980s the number of industrial workers fell to less than 20% of the total. Today the total stands at around 11%, a decline of half in a generation or less. ‘Stateless corporations’, John Kerry called them in the most recent presidential election campaign. But what many took as a term of reproach was really nothing other than a characterisation of the current reality. Capital is certainly stateless, but workers are not. The larger US corporations have passionately embraced Globalisation, those that haven’t and stayed at home have suffered the consequences. The American trade balance, once viewed as an emblem of global economic power, appears now more to resemble that of a midget rather than a giant. In the USA the diminution of the national economy is plainly visible. Practically every other nation in the world dumps its products on the US, without necessarily shopping for anything in return.
[Ed.: Chart shows the US trade deficit in billions of dollars. The overall US trade deficit is sharply lower since the recession, but is still running at pre-recession levels with China]
Anyone searching for evidence of a superpower isn’t going to find it in the trade figures. It’s not just raw materials or components that account for the gross imbalance. It is the leading products of an advanced economy that are being unloaded here – automobiles, computers, electronics, games consoles etc – without similar flows of advanced products being delivered in return to the world market. The largest exporter has now become the largest importer. The most important creditor nation has now turned into the largest debtor. Today foreigners have around $ 2.5 trillion in investment in the US, around 21% of the GDP. 9% of all stocks, 17% of corporate bonds, and 24% of government notes are held by foreigners.
Chinese currency reserves in $US billions Private savings rates are extremely low by international standards. Overseas debt increases each day by a staggering $ 660 million. Private household debt alone amounts to almost $ 11 trillion, 30% of which has been added since 2003. Americans are enjoying their present affluence, however they have bought it with a large slice of their future. The American Boom of recent years is not the refutation of a crisis, but rather the precursor of one.
In all probability, the new ‘economic dominant’ will be China. In just three decades, the giant empire has achieved a position in the global economy remarkable for a country which still applies for development aid from the West. Two-thirds of all photocopiers, microwave ovens and children’s toys now originate in the Middle Kingdom. As do half of all digital cameras and textiles, a third of all desktop computers, and a quarter of all mobile phones, auto-radios and steel. China is being spurred on above all by India. That country offers multinational corporations a well-educated, English-speaking and financially unassuming workforce, which energetically jumps on the bandwagon, when it comes to assuming the work that was formerly done in the West.
[Ed.: the chart at the right depicts the ten-year growth of GDP for China and India]
In its study “The Leaping Tiger”, the economic division of Deutsche Bank maintains that almost any business stands to gain financially by offshoring operations to India. This in spite of the high start-up costs and ongoing communications costs. All-in-all they reckon payroll savings of between 20 and 40% are easily realisable. Offshoring doesn’t necessarily mean dismantling. If that were so, the victims could easily see and hear the dismantling going on. It’s usually shrouded and muted. Although sometimes crates must be packed and containers loaded, it’s seldom seen. An exception was the Chinese labour battalion that dismantled a Dortmund steelworks in 2002.
[Ed.: The Westfalenhütte was one of the largest industrial employers in the Ruhr region, employing over 30,000 workers at its peak. In 2002 Thyssen-Krupp sold it to the Chinese who dismantled the works and shipped it to Shanghai, where it is now back in production. The slogan on the banner reads “Completion of the dismantlement in safety, good quality and at high tempo”]
Simply put, the offshoring of Western jobs can rarely be discerned through inspection of what has slipped, but rather through that which arrives in the container ports. Bosses cross their arms and press their lips tight together on hearing the word ‘offshoring’. The victim intends it as a rebuke, his erstwhile employer considers it to be a gross interference into the internal affairs of his firm. The new jobs created abroad represent the opening up of new markets, he claims, to dampen down the uproar in the home country. They speak about the expansion of overseas turnover, as if that were a matter of common interest. How else can one get a foot in the door, he asks, other than by taking on local employees there? In actual fact, the opening up of new markets and the expansion of overseas sales are both worthy and necessary objectives. However, they do not explain the phenomenon of the massive transfer of jobs and capital out of western countries. McKinsey has reviewed the accounts of great multinational companies such as BASF, Electrolux, Fiat, GE, IBM, Philips and Volkswagen, and has been able to demonstrate conclusively that the loss of western jobs bears no relationship whatsoever to gaining entry into new overseas markets. The overseas revenues of all of these companies has increased, but by only a very modest 8.5% over the period from 1990 to 2002. Over the same period, their fixed foreign investments and their overseas labour force have both increased by over 20%. Western companies want to profit from having all those new customers, which is a part of the truth. However they are much more strongly motivated by the new sources of cheap and pliant labour which can be used to displace significant segments of their workforce in the west. This part of the truth they try to shamelessly suppress. Their most successful colonisations in the Far East and Eastern European have been, to date, mostly confined to the less complex industrial capabilities. It is in these outer layers of the productive core, where workers produce little profit and even sometimes generate losses, that conditions have been easiest. The workforces understand almost instinctively the relative value placed on overseas production. The chemical firm Degussa produces the same specialty chemicals in both China and Germany, in quite similar quantities, the principal difference being that in China the machinery is obsolescent. There 150 workers are needed to produce what requires only 15 at home; a difference which is reflected in the manufacturing cost of the products. In China it is half that in Germany. Paul Hartman AG, a producer of bandages and sticking plasters in Baden-Württemberg, saw little chance for survival except by offshoring the majority of its production to China, India and Eastern Europe. The women in its Chinese plant receive a monthly wage of € 100 ($ 130) for a six-day, 48 hour workweek, less than the amount that it contributes in health insurance for a German employee. Accordingly, the alternative to offshoring for such a long-established firm would not have been to continue production in Germany but to go under. Above all, the pressure to lower costs and reduce or maintain prices comes from the Consumer. In a free market where individual consumers can exercise free choice, the social market economy has been stabbed in the back by those who should be its greatest supporter. No matter whether their political heart beats to the right or to the left, it only takes a consumer to step inside a supermarket or department store for all their good intentions about socially-responsible investment to fly out of the window.
The ordinary shopper at Karstadt, Metro or Lidl is a committed fanatic for Globalisation, who scrutinise price and features, but not countries and their social security systems. He wants to receive discounts, not to pay supplements. He’s interested in getting a good deal, not in the filthy business that might be happening on the other side of the world. With every purchase of a product from the Far East, the buyer casts a negative vote for the local welfare state and its ability to perform. If not overtly, they cold-heartedly inflict a blow on local industry with every purchase. Since almost everything we purchase can be produced without the involvement of the welfare state. Those who wish to, can buy a car from General Motors. But it will come with $ 1,500 in social costs as a built-in feature, according to a recent announcement by the company’s CEO. A much better deal can be had down at the Hyundai dealership, since comparable social supplements are not paid to workers in Korea. Washing machines are available with social costs built-in as standard. Like those from AEG in Nuremberg, whose machines are built by workers who a 38-hour work-week, high wages and labour under the protection of the Works Council. But right alongside AEG’s products you’ll find competitive products from Taiwan, China or Poland, all places where the work-week is much longer and the wages much lower. A welfare state on our model doesn’t exist there. 75% of the global working population has no unemployment insurance, which is a drawback for them personally, but an advantage for their products. The risks of sickness, poverty and old age are borne by the workers themselves, and are not bundled into the products they produce. In the west, it is exactly the opposite. In the Far East it will usually be a stern foreman rather than the works council who lays down the rules. In the factories and workshops of the cheap competition the rules are never for the benefit of those who work there. They are allowed to work there, but not to complain. Their wages are set down, not negotiated. It’s the family that has to provide a social safety net, not the company. Around 60% of the household appliances sold in Germany are now produced in other countries. It’s likely that the other 40% will soon follow suit. Global market leader Electrolux, which currently has manufacturing facilities in Europe, North America and Australia, has announced its intention to close half of them. A plant the size of AEG’s in Nuremberg could save up to € 48 million annually – if it were situated in Poland.
Part IV – Piracy and Pollution
However, the newer market economies have shown little interest in confining themselves to low-productivity pursuits. Sure, they all started off at the lower end of the market, however that was only their way of getting a foot in the door. Now they assault the core of western economic competence, and are training legions of academics, in order to assume for themselves the modern service-based functions that are prized occupational areas in New York, London, Paris and Berlin. And so the assault on the West’s core competencies has commenced. As the German Ministry of Economic Affairs has stated in its report “The Globalised World of Work”: ‘…the second wave will be concerned with the highly-qualified’. A Far Eastern knowledge-based economy is already in incubation, and the amount of money being invested in it is an indication of the ambition behind it. China already spends about a third as much as the USA on R&D, and about half that of the EU. State and private expenditures are increasing at 20% annually, which is more than twice the rate of growth of the economy itself. In India, three million people will graduate from college this year, in China even more: four million annually. Since the early 90s Asian countries have dramatically increased the numbers pursuing higher education. Even excluding Japan, the numbers of graduates from Asian universities in 2005 was four times as many as in Europe. Besides its own expenditures, China has introduced a new medium of exchange as a feature of its international economic relationships. In order to accelerate its development, China has settled on ‘knowledge’ as a key element; the knowledge of others, that is. The Chinese are interested in blueprints of any description. Permission for the construction of factories in China, and admittance to its internal market, is granted to western companies only on condition that they make over all of their trade secrets, large and small. How does one build microchips with massive amounts of memory? How are jet engines constructed and plant genetics modified? What are the secrets behind the production of the finest tool steel? Exactly how does magnetic levitation work? In earlier times such knowledge passed from generation to generation, within a concern or at most, within a society. Nowadays it flows from one continent to another. Never before in human history have knowledge transfers on such a scale taken place, without a war or invasion to stimulate it. Western firms assist Asians in their development, even if a little grudgingly. Executives remain tight-lipped about the often humiliating circumstances under which they are allowed admittance into local economies and markets. More often than not, a prerequisite for market entry involves the disclosure of trade secrets that have accumulated over decades. Quite often, within the space of a few weeks every shred of knowledge that has taken generations to build up is meekly handed over, lock, stock and barrel. It might concern how to construct and operate a modern steelworks, how to construct a mag-lev railway, or how to design and build world-class automobiles. Whatever it is, this cost of entry into the market never appears on any balance sheet. So now we come to another matter: the illegal methods of transferring knowledge, against which the West has been excruciatingly slow to face up to. Among young Chinese engineers the motto is “Better try than buy”. China is today the undisputed homeland of product piracy. In Shenzhen, a firm sprung up which offered for sale network switches and routers which ran a clone (actually, as was later proven a stolen direct copy) of Cisco Systems’ crown jewel, its Internetworking Operating System, the network worlds’ equivalent of Microsoft Windows. In Inner Mongolia a knock of Procter & Gamble’s ‘Head and Shoulders’ was manufactured. Harry Potter stories circulated not only as pirated copies of the British originals, but the image of the author herself was appended. A Chinese Harry Potter was even brought to life. Funny business attended also the construction of the state-of-the-art maglev rail system in Shanghai. ThyssenKrupp and Siemens, the German companies which invented and patented the technology, were pestered by their Chinese ‘partners’ from the outset to disclose to them the innermost secret workings of the highly-sophisticated drive- and transmission-systems. The Germans, for once, declined and so the Chinese decided to conduct their own surreptitious investigation. One November night in 2004, a group of Chinese engineers infiltrated a maintenance depot in order to examine in detail the systems. They were clandestinely filmed in the act, following which the CEO of Shanghai-Transrapid, Wu Xiangming, was forced to get involved. He subsequently advised his German Consortium-Partners that the night-time operation was completely legitimate, since it served in the interest of advancing ‘Chinese R&D’. In this way the Chinese enliven the core of their own national economy using an intellectual energy produced elsewhere. They are buying time through the acquisition of western firms. But more importantly, they are stealing time through the cost-free snaffling of what others have devised elsewhere. “A problem of this scale and magnitude can only exist with the direct or indirect involvement of the State”, according to Daniel Chow, professor at the University of Ohio, and one of America’s leading legal experts in the field of intellectual property rights. China’s entry into the WTO, and the obligations it accepted to comply with its regulations governing free trade, seem to have had little impact on the situation. This accumulation of legally and illegally acquired knowhow is now enough for a serious assault to be successfully launched on the technological leadership of western firms, according to a study from management consultants Booz Allen Hamilton. Philipp Vorndran, Head of Strategy for Credit Suisse believes that “The western industrialised nations have, to a great extent, now passed over their know-how to the Chinese, and with that, have completed their assignment. They will soon no longer be of any use, and an assault from China is now only a matter of time”. The State plays an important role in the distribution of wealth and power, perhaps even the decisive one. In the west, it ensures that the productive sector of the economy places a portion of its resources at the disposal of society at large. Profits largely remain in the enterprise, but not entirely so. In that sense, even people who are not directly responsible for wealth creation get to benefit as well. The welfare state is the transfer point in the circulation of funds from the productive sphere to the other parts of society, which fundamentally has only a consumer role. In this way, the general prosperity which entirely arises from the productive sector of the economy is spread throughout society. Pensioners were once part of the productive kernel, but are no longer so. They are sustained, in large part, by the efforts of those who still work. This inter-generational compact, which couples the working world with the retired, is a characteristic feature of most western states. Children also count amongst those on the periphery, although of course they move in an opposite direction, that is, towards the productive kernel. In time they play their part in the expansion of the productive sector, and therefore in increasing general prosperity. At this point, it is important to have a clear understanding of the role of the state in western countries. It ensures that the productive kernel and the unproductive periphery in society remain connected, that is, capitalism and the welfare state each gives rise to the other. The social budget, as the contribution from the central core of the economy is termed, is now running at around € 700 billion in Germany, in Europe as a whole it stands at € 3 trillion. The German Federal Constitution insists that such redistribution takes place. Under the “Social Obligations of Ownership” it outlines the responsibility for those in the productive kernel to provide the ‘energy’ to sustain those further out on the unproductive periphery. In China, however, the State has an entirely different function. It inserts itself like a fireproof barrier between kernel and periphery, and ensures that nothing leaks from the glowing kernel into the surrounding zone. The retrenchment of the state industries in China goes hand in hand with the vaporisation of any social security provisions that employees might have enjoyed. In private industry, social security is unknown. Such social obligations as are met are undertaken by the workers’ families, or by nobody at all. Indeed the Chinese State stands ready to maintain the separation of kernel and periphery with force, if necessary. Today China is the country with the severest labour laws in the world. Death is a common feature in Chinese economic life. Western experts have estimated that in 2005 China experienced 100,000 fatal work accidents, including at least 10,000 in the mining industry. These are the highest figures that have ever been observed in a single country. In the export sector, which is the fundamental platform for the Asian economic miracle, China employs around 7 million children; there are 120 million in Asia as a whole. They weave rugs, carry loads, assemble plastic components into plastic toys. But more than anything else, they lower costs. Such unrestrained capitalism has not been seen on this scale since the darkest days of the industrial revolution. Everything is pushed aside in the relentless pursuit of profit, even the right of children to have a childhood and the healthy to remain uninjured. Chinese communists are no longer really communists as we recall those we knew previously from Moscow. They are committed nationalists who, after wasted decades on a wild goose chase, now seek to drive their country to the top of the rich man’s league table. Different parts of the country have transformed themselves into Special Economic Zones, with a single intent: to produce profits its purest, even crystalline form. And in that lies the fundamental difference with the former Soviet Union. The communist state there was the greatest consumer of the prosperity that was sucked out its feeble productive core. It’s fair to say that the productive kernel in both China and India is being sustained by the energy that is being leached out of the periphery of their economic and social structure. For it is the State that is facilitating the movement of the workless and the peasantry into the productive process. What sounds like a contradiction is not – the State facilitates but does not take any responsibility; its arbitration is merely circumstantial. The contrast with the West could not be more apparent. While in Europe, particularly, workers are steered towards early retirement, work creation, welfare or the dole, in Asia it is exactly the reverse. More and more labour is being applied to the productive process, but under the toughest conditions as dictated by the nature of the process itself. It’s important to distinguish between the aggressor states and the ‘sunset’ economies; since even the unemployed are not the same in each. The workless in the West represent the productive energy of the past, while the jobless in China form the energy reserve for the future. One burdens the national economy, because it costs money to sustain them, the other benefits the economy because their mere existence puts downward pressure on the wages of the others. The aggressor states not only stoke up their economic machinery with human resources, but also with another low-cost input: the natural environment, which is enthusiastically plundered. The Great Helmsman Mao-tse Tung with his earlier nationwide campaign “War on Nature” ensured that the Chinese developed into committed environmental vandals. As expected and as usual, Mother Earth is required to act as the filtration tank for all this. Deserts are deployed as garbage tips, industrial emissions are filtered first through the lungs of the neighbours. Pesticides used in highly-intensive agriculture end up in the food chain and in the water supply, so that the human body itself acts as a kind of auxiliary landfill. In Shanghai, the cityscape is cloaked almost year-round with a smog of particulates and hazardous compounds, all emitted by the regional industrial base. If the major conurbations of Asia were required to comply with EU norms for air and water quality, as well as food standards, the majority of industrial enterprises would be shut down. Vehicle traffic would be non-existent. China’s dictatorship and India democracy are as alike as two peas in pod with respect to the unscrupulousness with which they treat the environment as an endless cornucopia of raw materials and as a dumping ground for industrial waste. Since independence India has desertified 85 million hectares of productive agricultural land through overgrazing, over-fertilisation and salination. According to a 1951 forestry survey and conservation plan, a third of the country was devoted to woodland, however recent satellite pictures show that less than 14% remain. Asian economic growth is underpinned not just by the dramatic increase in the labour force and the industrial infrastructure, but also by an enormous increase in consumption of material resources. For the Chinese to produce $ 10,000 in finished product it requires four times the resource input that an American producer would require. “China is in denial about its environmental problem” according to a recent statement by Zhu Guangyao, Vice-president of the state environmental agency Sepa. On the occasion of World Environment Day in early June 2006 he presented China’s first environmental report for ten years, with devastating detail disclosed in public for the first time. According to Zhu’s report, the costs associated with environmental degradation are accumulating at the rate of more than 10% of GDP, which is even larger than the rate of economic growth itself. ****************************************** Part V (the final part) has fallen foul of the character count gremlins, so appears instead in the inline comments for January 11th. Posted by Dan Dare on Friday, January 1, 2010 at 11:00 PM in Comments:2
Posted by Captainchaos on January 02, 2010, 03:23 AM | # Latvian Artur Silgailis of the Waffen-SS wrote of a conversation he had with Himmler:
Damn, the fucking Krauts look smarter by the day. And yes, all those Krauts did burn for nothing. 3
Posted by jamesUK on January 02, 2010, 05:26 AM | # I thought Majority Rights did not do geo-politics? I was going to post a fitting gif animation but I don’t know how to. 4
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 02, 2010, 10:31 AM | #
Of course we do geopolitics. I myself not long ago posted a geopolitics-tinged French article criticizing Turkey’s bid for membership in Europe. We do tons of geopolitics here. What we don’t do is dreamily go about indulging in 1950s-style “classic” geopolitical scenarios that assume the white race is still the white race, things are chugging along geopolitically the way they were in 1955, and refusing to take into account the portent of the present Eurospherewide race-replacement crisis including that catastrophe’s profound geopolitical portent. You do that. Sbigniev Brezhinski does that. Lots of other brain-dead idiots just like you do that. MR.com doesn’t do that. See the difference? When we here do geopolitics we take everything that’s happening into account, unlike you who think you’re in Disraeli’s and Bismarck’s day and you’re playing “The Great Game” of geopolitics Kipling wrote about in his “Kim” novel. You’re an imbecile, JamesUK. Take South Africa. What has changed about SA’s geopolitical involvement as a result of the Jewish-imposed transformation from a white to a Negro country? Or take Chimpbabwe — answer the same question please. Are whatever “geopolitics” SA and Chimpbabwe had the same now? Take Palestine. What has changed about Palestine’s geopolitical involvement as a result of its 1948 transformation from Arab rule and demography to Jewish rule and demography? You now have a First-World country and economy there in that geographical spot, nuclear-armed to the teeth with the third or fourth strongest military in the world, and so on, where before you had a smattering of Bedouin’s tents and their camels, sheeps, and goats. Was it “geopolitics” that wrought that seismic upheaval, or was it perhaps ..... demography and race-replacement? That’s OK, take all the time you need James. What about North America for that matter? In Oliver Cromwell’s time North America was a place of howling savages and now look at it. Was that fundamental change brought about by mainly by geopolitics or mainly by demography and race-replacement? Mexifornia has been made into a 100% Mexican basketcase by the Jews, a big change from its previous existence as a wonder of the U.S., an advanced garden spot, under its former name “California.” Was it mainly geopolitics that changed California the dream come true into Mexifornia, the hell-on-Earth, the living nightmare? Or was it race-replacement of whites and demography? The same Jews who gave us Mexifornia (thanks, Jews!) are working feverishly to do the same thing to the whole United States and so far show every sign of succeeding mainly thanks to the blindness of the majority of Euro-race élites who are blighted with exactly the same stupidity as you are, JamesUK, so are blind-and-braindead to what’s being done to them just like your sorry pathetic self. And once that transformation will have gone to completion which the Jews are working on so hard, will “U.S. geopolitics” remain the same as they were in, say, 1960? Or will there be a ... let’s call it “slight change” to be delicate? Got that? It’s OK, I’ll wait while you read the question over and get your thinking cap on .................. So the Treaty of Versailles locked Jewrmany into undergoing a replacement of its German-race demography with a Turkish one? No, there were thousands of ways between then and now for that demographic change to be avoided. It could have been avoided as recently as the early 1980s when a successful buyout scheme was in place to send the Turks back to Turkey but that was torpedoed by unseen behind-the-scenes forces and what did we get in its place? Instructions to the Germans from on-high to accept the demographic transformation of their country because it was inevitable and to even think about questioning it was to self-incupate as an unrepentant Nazi, very dangerous for your health in a Jew-controlled DC puppet where dogs get arrested and tried today for giving the raised arm salute. “Inevitable”? But just five minutes ago they had a scheme for avoiding it that was working great. What happened to that? “It is forbidden to ask that question. Ask it again and you will be arrested, tried, and put in jail.” 5
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 02, 2010, 10:52 AM | #
Here: http://majorityrights.com/index.php/weblog/comments/the_ankara_candidacy/ . I myself also posted a Martin van Creveld interview in the MR.com Forum which dealt with geopolitcs: http://majorityrights.com/index.php/forums/viewthread/227/ . Tons of other bloggers and guest-bloggers here have posted entries dealing with geopolitcs. We do it all the time. Look at Dasein’s Danzig series, and countless others. Look at Alex’s series just the other say on South America’s wars of independence from Spain with Bolivar and San Martin. We do plenty of geopolitics here. But we do it rationally and intelligently, taking all present-day realities into account, JamesUK. All present-day realities, not just the ones that allow you to get your rocks off imagining you’re the present-day Otto von Bismarck as you ignore 90% of the new reality that is upon us. 6
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 02, 2010, 10:58 AM | #
Excuse me, change that to “as a result of its 1948 transformation from British rule and Arab demography to Jewish rule and demography?” 7
Posted by Dasein on January 02, 2010, 11:04 AM | # What strikes me in the Spiegel cover is that this Asian robot army is marching forward carrying Western inventions. When the West is 99.9% Negro, Mestizo, and Arab, what will they be mass producing and pirating? 8
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 02, 2010, 11:14 AM | # JamesUK: here’s some of this blog’s geopolitical coverage of Kosovo; http://majorityrights.com/index.php/weblog/comments/the_lessons_kosovo_teaches/ ; and here of the Moscow-Georgia stand-off: http://majorityrights.com/index.php/weblog/comments/russian_nationalists_russian_geopolitics/ . Here and in my comment above are just a microscopic sampling of the geopolitics this site covers. But again, we cover geopolitics intelligently, not blindly. 9
Posted by Matra on January 02, 2010, 11:46 AM | # An article in the Grauniad that has got a lot of attention blames China for the failure in Copenhagen a couple of weeks ago: How do I know China wrecked the Copenhagen deal? The anger from the left following this week’s execution of that Pakistani with a British passport, Tibet, and a few other issues all lead me to wonder if Western lefties are starting to understand that the decline of white nations means the liberal white values they supposedly care so much about will no longer matter. 10
Posted by Dan Dare on January 02, 2010, 12:10 PM | #
Dasein, a whole section of the article deals with industrial espionage and theft of intellectual property, as well as the terminally short-sighted propensity of western business leaders and politicians to sell the seed corn for a mess of pottage. It will be up for further commentary in a day or two. 11
Posted by EuroNationalist on January 02, 2010, 02:21 PM | # OT: The Instauration archive is now online: 12
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 02, 2010, 02:50 PM | # JamesUK is the big geopolitics expert here, is he? OK. JamesUK, I assign you the task of coming up with a Sbigniew Brzhinski, Henry Kissinger, Robert Steuckers style geopolitics prescription which will set in train a series of geopolitical events leading inexorably to the halting and undoing of race-replacemenet. Can you do that, JamesUK? 13
Posted by Dan Dare on January 02, 2010, 03:07 PM | # Part I now appears below the fold. I’ll refrain from commentary within the article itself in order that readers can clearly distinguish between Steingart’s proposition and my own comments. In this first part he concentrates largely on the impact that globalisation is having upon the manufacturing sector. This is an aspect of the story which these days is usually fairly muted in Anglo-American discussion, for the simple reason that manufacturing has been a relatively insignificant part of those economies for decades, de-industrialisation in both having preceded even the emergence of the truly global economy in the 80s and 90s. For Germans however, the picture looks very different. Almost uniquely amongst the larger western economies, the industrial sector in Germany continues to be the powerhouse of the economy, and manufactured exports remain of primary importance. According to Eurostat, the industrial sector accounted for 27% of gross value-added in Germany in 2008, compared to 16% in the UK. Even that figure is comparatively inflated since it includes the production of North Sea oil and gas which account for 3-4% of UK economic output. Steingart also touches on another key, related aspect which raises atavistic fears amongst Germans: the phenomenal growth in the global industrial workforce which has occurred just in the last twenty years. This theme will be considerably expanded in Part II. 14
Posted by jamesUK on January 02, 2010, 03:41 PM | # @Fred Scrooby
Where is this great race replacement threat? It is non-existent. We could stop promoting and supporting Muslims over Christians especially in Europe and Eurasia of Turkish affiliation around the world even in Africa where there numbers have risen causing an increase in the population. We could stop supporting international terrorism and organised crime which apart from the Jews is mainly non-white. Stop using our resources to fight these Trotskyite colonial wars in foreign countries that we have no national interest in except for the good of the Empire to control the world’s oil supplies. 15
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 02, 2010, 04:08 PM | #
I said the other day, “Prove me wrong. (Now watch him prove me right.)” Proof wasn’t long in coming. You’re at the wrong blog, JamesUK. The best thing you could do at this point would be to quietly fade away. Just go. Bye. You haven’t a fricking clue what in the goddamn hell’s going on or what you’re yapping about. 16
Posted by jamesUK on January 02, 2010, 04:44 PM | # @Fred Scrooby What are the projections from our immediate race replacement then that is so dire? The bogus Muslim demographic projection video in Europe was debunked as such by a commenter with the BBC video link posted on this site. < < insert site link here > > http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/8189231.stm And all the European countries are vastly majority white not below 90% I would say. 17
Posted by onetwothree on January 02, 2010, 06:31 PM | # I suspect it isn’t worth the trouble of posting, but, *More are on the way. Today, the Muslim birth rate in Europe is three times higher than the non-Muslim one. If current trends continue, the Muslim population of Europe will nearly double by 2015, while the non-Muslim population will shrink by 3.5 percent.* http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2003/03middleeast_taspinar.aspx Right? It all depends on how the trend goes, but it seems like in a matter of a few generations, a continent that has been mostly white for 1000s of years will no longer be so. If this doesn’t matter to you, that’s your business, but it’s the single most important demographic change in the history of the world. 18
Posted by Guessedworker on January 02, 2010, 07:59 PM | # “The majority yearn for an economic Messiah” ... “The western values of freedom and democracy still hold sway, but they are far from universally observed.” So that’s the apotheosis of neoliberalism and neo-Marxism, not some kind of geopolitical-economic Final Day for the West. From a nationalist standpoint a coming war on prosperity represents an opportunity, As others have noted, the missing element in Steingart’s analysis is the centrality of the preservation of the European race to both economics and Western civilisation. But that said, the economy and Western civilisation and culture are potable concepts electorally. I would certainly look at a nationalist party that attentuated its survivalist policy on economic and cultural forms, providing nothing - absolutely nothing - was yielded on the core racial objective. In Britain at the moment the BNP has no powerful economic vision and, under Establishment pressure, has plainly drifted towards an accomodationist culturalism - in other words, become a mouthpiece for anti-Islamic and anti-immigration (as opposed to anti race-replacement) sentiment. In such opposition lie the seeds not of a revolutionary challenge to the system in toto, but a challenge only to the political parties within the system. I happen to be of the conviction that the core racial objective is sacrosanct - the political Absolute - and cannot be achieved to our full satisfaction if we begin from a position of accomodationism. As I am often reminded, it’s easy to criticise from the sidelines, and the party remains the only game in town. If it serves as a schwerpunckt for a more thorough-going radicalism I shall have no complaint. The gamble is, though, that given political success this may not be how it works out. 19
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 02, 2010, 10:08 PM | #
James, forget “projections.” Look at London. From what I gather, England is bearing the brunt, with Scotland relatively unscathed as yet, but next time you travel south take a good look at London, Birmingham, and a few other cities one could name, and come back and let us know what you saw, race-wise. Then ask yourself, If they’ve done that to the two biggest cities in the realm, what’s keeping them from doing the same to every other city, town, and village? Answer: Nothing’s keeping them. Do you remember when Blunkett said “no theoretical upper limit” to it? So, What stands in the way of the whole shooting match being given the London/Birmingham treatment? Answer: Nothing stands in the way. Question: do they intend on stopping at just what they’ve done so far, or do they intend to transform the whole shooting match? Answer: They intend to transform the whole shooting match. Have you seen any hint they’re closing the floodgates, turning off the spigot? Of course you haven’t, because there’s been none. Question: You mean the behind-the-scenes plan calls for the phasing-out of white people? Answer: Well, can you show me any indication that precisely that is not the current plan? Because I can’t see any. Just try asking one of them if that’s enough now or do they plan on continuing. You’ll be told to shut up and you’re a racist and hater for even asking, and you’ll be solemnly warned off repeating your question on pain of arrest and trial for “hate.” Does that sound like the other side intends to stop where they are and let the rest of the white population centers stay white? What’s up with men calling Newcastle “hideously white” and acting as if that city badly requires negrification? What’s up with that? What’s hideous about being white and why does Newcastle badly need to be negrified? Do pronouncements of that sort give you the impression there’ll be no more imporation of non-whites? Somehow I don’t get that impression from pronouncements like that. Paris, Marseilles, Brussels, Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Malmö, Frankfurt, these are all Negro cities now or heading rapidly in that direction, with no sign of the overall process slowing. In North America Toronto is a Negro city, any number of U.S. cities are, including Washington D.C., Negro York, Philadelphia, and the list goes on, and on, and on. They’ve got the whole state of Mexifornia transformed now into mystery meat with Texas slated soon to follow, and if anyone dares to question it he’s viciously attacked and punished. Does that sound like the process is slowing down? You get the last word, James — you’re too thick to argue with. By the way, I call race-replacement taking a race and making it ten-percent Negro when it wasn’t ten percent Negro before. That’s race-replacement. You’ve replaced a race with something different. Taking the population of France which was white and replacing it with a population no longer white but 10% non-white is race-replacement. Keep that in mind please. 20
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 02, 2010, 10:18 PM | # JamesUK of course won’t answer a single one of my questions because he’s thick as a fricking brick. He thinks “geopolitics” is everything. He can’t grasp that there’s no geopolitics without race — none worthy of the name. He thinks geopolitics continues exactly unchanged after the United States has been transformed into Mexico North, France into Morocco North, and Jewrmany into Turkey North. What a pathetic non-entity. Again, he gets the last word, as I’m completely done with the moron. 21
Posted by Dan Dare on January 02, 2010, 10:26 PM | #
My own view is that regional autarky will be a necessary and inevitable outcome of the forthcoming global war for prosperity, what Griffin has termed the coming Age of Shortages. That will it in itself naturally lead on to demographic protectionism, possession of the key resource of productive real estate being the critical factor in future prosperity, survival even. The only question in my mind is whether the USA will form part of this new Großeuropa, or not. 22
Posted by Captainchaos on January 02, 2010, 11:29 PM | #
Just doesn’t have the same ring as Global Racial Holy War. But the one could potentially transition into the other. 23
Posted by jamesUK on January 02, 2010, 11:52 PM | # @Fred Scrooby There is a high percentage in some parts of London of ghettos were immigrants come in so what? There are Italian ghettos in New York and other groups that does not mean America will be majority Italian Immigarnts mainly come in as a source of cheap labour and I told you why Germany has a Turkish population the same can be said of France and Britain were immigrants of countries of origin reflect there former colonies Algerian’s in France and Pakistani’s in Britain.
There is no serious threat of Britain or any other European country being race replaced. And you are acting as if the government would just let this happen. Obviously if you change the global dynamic of supporting Muslims over Christians around the world which will create a sea of Muslim population countries that will deminish the white Christian countries and with our globalist economic system that depends on cheap immgration that will eventually have an unavoidable race-replacement 24
Posted by Sal of Bensonhurst on January 03, 2010, 12:58 AM | # “There are Italian ghettos in New York…” If only. The ghettos in NYC (or any other US city) ain’t full of dagos, WOPS, guineas, etc…They are full of people who are even darker than Sicilians. Unbelievable, I know. 25
Posted by Wanderer on January 03, 2010, 04:40 AM | # Re Captainchaos on January 02, 2010, 07:23 AM
I recommend all to read Stoddard’s book “The Rising Tide of Color”. Its value is as an historical document that captures the thinking of the voelkisch wing of American intelligensia in the 1910s-1920s. (It was published in 1920, written in 1919). The basic thesis is evident from the title: In light of the insanity of the preceding 1914-1918 European fratricide, Europeans seemed to be on the decline, and Stoddard provides an extensive amount of material (often second-hand from European observers overseas, but just as often in the “coloreds’-” own words and actions) suggesting that Africa and Asia would eventually overtake Europe and North America. In “Rising Tide”, we see that Stoddard was no simple-minded reactionary or panic-monger, no huckster who baselessly whipped up fear to an audience of mostly genteel colonial-stock Northeastern racists, whose “Pseudoscientific racism” inspired lynchings of blacks ‘for no reason’. This is how he is today remembered by Polite Opinion (if he’s remembered at all). I don’t recall all of what he says in the work, but several things do stand out in my memory from his chapter on Oriental ascendancy.
26
Posted by Wanderer on January 03, 2010, 04:42 AM | #
The basic sentiment in the European political mind of serious civilizational Yellow-Peril-ism probably traces back to the shock Japanese victory over Russia in 1905. I don’t think the labor-based Yellow-Peril-ism in the Western USA can be said to be the genesis of Stoddard’s and Himmler’s warnings. Few of the grizzled white gold prospectors and so forth from the east in mid-late 19th-century California would’ve ever dreamed that the yellows would take over the world—their concern was that they’d “take over” white men’s jobs by working for pennies an hour. That was a time when the Oriental powers [with Japan the only exception from the 1860s] were still almost laughably-feudal in their social institutions and thinking—akin to 1200s Western Europe [though seemingly more extreme than European feudalism ever got], with 90% of Oriental people being barely above slaves. Korea, for instance, lacked even the most basic postal infrastructure through the 1890s. There was no way at all to dispatch messages other than royal decree. When one enterprising young Korean aristocrat who had been on a trip to the USA tried to introduce a rudimentary public postal system in the 1880s, he was sentenced to death by the emperor for subversion, and the postal office he set up in Seoul was burned down. 27
Posted by Bill on January 03, 2010, 05:09 AM | # Housing benefit bill rises to nearly £20 billion This is a theme I’ve been quietly banging on about for some time now, and that is (as Fred says) there is no sign that mass immigration is about to slacken, au contraire, the spigot is still jammed full open. I raise the question again, where are all these newcomers going to live? Hundreds of thousands are still pouring annually which tells me our available housing stock must be getting down to the bare bones. Somewhere on the government’s back burner is a plan to build millions, yes millions of new homes, of which will form the core of a chain of new Eco towns across England. It is no secret that Britain’s population is to increase by millions over the coming generations. I’m no economic expert but I’m sufficiently savvy to guess that Britain, like America, is next to bankrupt and as wealth creation has been voluntarily shipped out to the East, then I ask where is the wealth creation to come from to build whole new towns and cities to house our massive population increase? I’ve said before, (many times) this massive housebuilding programme and its attendant infrastructure ain’t never going to happen so, the big question is, with mass immigration continuing and the increase in home grown demographics at the rate of three or four to one which, over the next couple of generations will amount to a population increase of some ten to fifteen million people. As my old Grandmother used to say you can’t get a quart into a pint pot, which leads me to to say that the rumours of the conspiracies types may be right when they say a central plank in the plans of the NWO is to engineer a massive reduction in the world’s population from present figures to well below two billion! It looks increasingly likely the slow train crash will be speeded up in the Teenies, (LOL) is this the decade that history will record when the future of mankind will be be decided? However, on a more mundane note, Britain is going bust and the available housing stock is about to dry up or more likely has already done so. The welfare state, which has enabled millions to come here and partake in the consuming of the wealth of the West, is about to collapse sometime soon, this combination alone is sufficient to send our once cohesive world into a tail-spin of destruction, you cannot but admire the speed and efficiency of the left as typified by Blair and Brown who have brought their Utopian vision to pass. Yes, the Teenies will be even more interesting times. It is interesting that this article makes no mention of the effects of immigration. (unless I missed something) 28
Posted by Desmond Jones on January 03, 2010, 06:12 AM | # Ain’t gonna happen, for three reasons. India/China’s 1) Smart fraction/verbal IQ smart fraction deficit 2) Extended kinship reciprocity (versus a system of non-kinship based reciprocity) 3) Enormous levels of corruption (see corruption index) inherent in societies adopting/evolving extended kinship based relationships. 29
Posted by Nog-Nig. on January 03, 2010, 07:12 AM | # Jamesuk, 30
Posted by Nog Nig on January 03, 2010, 07:33 AM | # The other side of the coin is this: 31
Posted by Nog Nig on January 03, 2010, 07:40 AM | # Bill, 32
Posted by Bill on January 03, 2010, 08:53 AM | # Posted by Nog Nig on January 03, 2010, 11:40 AM
I would suggest there isn’t going to be another boom - ever, it is not in the (NWO) cards, in fact the whole point of Globalisation is to level our civilisation to that of the Third World. That’s if we’re lucky. I suppose it is possible for the PhD of Goldman Sachs to come up with another scam to fill the coffers with printed/pixelated/electronic funny money whatever. On the other hand, here in Britain, I suppose the economy could be re-inflated by importing millions of additional enrichers who would all require a flat screen television, a NHS, a new school, a new hybrid electric car, a ton more supermarkets and motorways, a new Eco mansion plus everything else that is needed to live the good life in modern Britain. Many people equate wealth as money, not me, I equate wealth as prosperity, and wealth is something we don’t possess a lot of here in Britain - the oil is fast disappearing but there’s still some coal remaining I hear tell. So where is the next boom to come from? You tell me. The globalists are impatiently waiting for the tipping point and then they will unleash the dogs of war. PS. I see the transferring of the West’s wealth creation to the other side as reparation and affirmative action. 33
Posted by jamesUK on January 03, 2010, 09:49 AM | # @Nog-Nig
What BS London is majority non-white. What a ridiculous statement.
Proof please from a reliable, unbiased source. 2001 UK census said that the white population of the UK was 92.1%. So hardly a race-replacement you, Fred Scrooby and others constantly harp on about of a non-existent threat
34
Posted by jamesUK on January 03, 2010, 10:00 AM | # So basically this article admits that they don’t what the standard of living in China to improve which was obvious anyway and harp on about an impossible human rights issue (a fraud issue) to administer to a population of 1.5 billion people. Germany is at the forefront of sponsoring and supporting Islamic terrorism/separatism in Xinjing province (East Turkmenistan). 35
Posted by Lurker (Mk II) on January 03, 2010, 10:52 AM | # LOL at the frantic debates that must be going on at Hasbara Central. “Oy yoy, these Chinese don’t think the Holycost has anything to do with them! They won’t let our bankers take control of their economy! They won’t sell their newspapers and TV channels to our boys so we can train them up in all the universalisms that deliver for us! We can’t even get professorships there so we can start Schools of Sino-Jewish Studies. So how are we going to bring these isolationists and nationalists into the NWO, Abraham?’ ‘Don’t talk to me about the yellow goyim, Jacob—I’m supposed to make those Aryan Hindus feel guilty about letting our people be persecuted while they were messing about trying to gain their own independence. Shame on that Mahatma, such a passive-aggressive antisemite he was.’ ‘Well, we’ll just have to use the big stick, launch a few of those warheads we haven’t officially got if there are any left over after we’ve annihilated the Muslim world in self-defence. I tell you, the way things are going there won’t be any real estate to grab that isn’t radioactive.’ 36
Posted by Nog Nig on January 03, 2010, 11:29 AM | # JamesUK, 37
Posted by Gudmund on January 03, 2010, 12:29 PM | # Hey JamesUK, look at this article, written in the Golden Age of Multiracialism (2000). Some choice quotes: -“It will take at least 50 years before we have any sizeable shift change in population. But the shift is inevitable and should be celebrated.” -Mr Viswanathan said some London boroughs already have more than 50 per cent non-white populations, such as Newham, east London. -A spokesman for the Commission for Racial Equality said the numbers and proportions of various racial groups were irrelevant. “Numbers don’t matter,” he said. “What we want is a multi-racial society at ease with itself, and we should be working to achieve that. Who cares what the colour of the skin of our great-grandchildren is?” -The CRE said the fastest-growing population was among Britain’s mixed-race groups. So much for your “aw, shucks” shit, clown. 38
Posted by Gudmund on January 03, 2010, 12:35 PM | # Think how much those trends have accelerated in the nine or so years since that article was written. And think of the hostility in that article towards whites; do you think it’s gotten less as their power and influence has grown? Why don’t you ask some city dwellers in England their opinion on that matter? Why don’t you read Dan Dare’s series if you aren’t still convinced. You know I took it for mendacity but now I think JamesUK lives in his own little world. 39
Posted by PF on January 03, 2010, 12:44 PM | # Nog Nig, Just wondering, how did you come about choosing that pseudonym. It reminds me of the german phrase ‘noch nicht’ pronounced in some sort of smothered dialect. 40
Posted by Dasein on January 03, 2010, 02:58 PM | # JamesUK seems to think MR is responsible for Western foreign policy. Otherwise, I’m not sure why he sticks around here. He’s race-blind, so it’s not because he cares about the existential threat facing European peoples. His time might be better spent writing letters to his local MP. Maybe when the first batch of Somalis show up in his Scottish village, he’ll realize what all the ‘geopolitical dimwits’ were concerned about at MR. Dan, interesting article. I think the jobless rate went down in the time since it was written, due in large measure to new regulations (Hartz IV) reducing unemployment benefits (I believe the number of jobless went down by nearly a million). So far the country has not experienced too much new unemployment from the financial crisis. Part of the reason is something called Kurzarbeit, whereby companies that are in financial trouble can have their employees work half time for some period (6 months, I believe). The company pays half the salary, and the government pays the other half (maybe not 100% total, but pretty close). I’ve read that 2010 will be a tough year for the German employees, as many of the companies taking advantage of this scheme will have to lay people off. It could get interesting here, just too bad that the big ‘Wahljahr’ was last year. I remember seeing a documentary once about the Wirtschaftswunder, and it showed some woman buying something in a bakery. It was an official BRD film, and the narrator said: “the strong economy makes everyone very friendly”, at which point the woman in the video got her change and smiled. I don’t think Germans will take as well to being pauperized as other Europeans might. 41
Posted by Dasein on January 03, 2010, 02:59 PM | #
Noch nicht ein Nig Nog, maybe that’s it? 42
Posted by Brian Goldenberg on January 03, 2010, 03:08 PM | # ALL EUROPEAN LIFE DIED IN AUSCHWITZ 11. On 9/11/01, four airliners were hijacked; two were used as 43
Posted by Brian Goldenberg on January 03, 2010, 03:24 PM | # Europe is being punished for its anti-Semitic wickedness. If you want to know what’s wrong, look in the mirror. 44
Posted by Wild Bill on January 03, 2010, 03:31 PM | # In 1995 a manufacturer of cell phones and walkie talkies told me that he was offered PHD electrical engineers at one US dollar per day, factory labor and secretaries for fifty cents per day, free electricity, interest free construction financing, interest free equipment financing and zero property tax for five years if he would increase the size of his operation and move it from Phoenix to China. There are 29 working days per month in China and the work day is 12 hours. In 2006 a Vietnamese fellow told me that seven US cents per hour is a respectable wage in Vietnam. 45
Posted by Brian Goldenberg on January 03, 2010, 04:43 PM | # December 7, 2009 By ROSS DOUTHAT But the treaty’s implementation fell just days after a milestone of a different sort: a referendum in Switzerland, long famous for religious tolerance, in which 57.5 percent of voters chose to ban the nation’s Muslims from building minarets. Switzerland isn’t an E.U. member state, but the minaret moment could have happened almost anywhere in Europe nowadays — in France, where officials have floated the possibility of banning the burka; in Britain, which elected two representatives of the fascistic, anti-Islamic British National Party to the European Parliament last spring; in Italy, where a bill introduced this year would ban mosque construction and restrict the Islamic call to prayer. If the more perfect union promised by the Lisbon Treaty is the European elite’s greatest triumph, the failure to successfully integrate millions of Muslim immigrants represents its greatest failure. And the two are intertwined: they’re both the fruits of the high-handed, often undemocratic approach to politics that Europe’s leaders have cultivated in their quest for unity. The European Union probably wouldn’t exist in its current form if the Continent’s elites hadn’t been willing to ignore popular sentiment. (The Lisbon Treaty, for instance, was deliberately designed to bypass most European voters, after a proposed E.U. Constitution was torpedoed by referendums in France and the Netherlands in 2005.) But this political style — forge a consensus among the establishment, and assume you can contain any backlash that develops — is also how the Continent came to accept millions of Muslim immigrants, despite the absence of a popular consensus on the issue, or a plan for how to integrate them. The immigrants came first as guest workers, recruited after World War II to relieve labor shortages, and then as beneficiaries of generous asylum and family reunification laws, designed to salve Europe’s post-colonial conscience. The European elites assumed that the divide between Islam and the West was as antiquated as scimitars and broadswords, and that a liberal, multicultural, post-Christian federation would have no difficulty absorbing new arrivals from more traditional societies. And they decided, too — as Christopher Caldwell writes in “Reflections on the Revolution in Europe,” his wonderfully mordant chronicle of Europe’s Islamic dilemma — that liberal immigration policies “involve the sort of nonnegotiable moral duties that you don’t vote on.” Better if they had let their voters choose. The rate of immigration might have been slower, and the efforts to integrate the new arrivals more strenuous. Instead, Europe’s leaders ended up creating a clash of civilizations inside their own frontiers. Millions of Muslims have accepted European norms. But millions have not. This means polygamy in Sweden; radical mosques in Britain’s fading industrial cities; riots over affronts to the Prophet Muhammad in Denmark; and religiously inspired murder in the Netherlands. It means terrorism, and the threat of terrorism, from London to Madrid. And it means a rising backlash, in which European voters support extreme measures and extremist parties because their politicians don’t seem to have anything to say about the problem. In fairness, it isn’t clear exactly what those leaders could offer at this point. They can’t undo decades of migration. A large Muslim minority is in Europe to stay. Persisting with the establishment’s approach makes a certain sense: keep a lid on prejudice, tamp down extremism, and hope that time will transform the zealous Islam of recent immigrants into a more liberal form of faith, and make the conflict go away. Or least keep it manageable. Caldwell’s book, the best on the subject to date, has a deeply pessimistic tone, but it shies away from specific predictions about the European future. Other writers are less circumspect, envisioning a Muslim-majority “Eurabia” in which Shariah has as much clout as liberalism. But even a decadent West is probably stronger than this. The most likely scenario for Europe isn’t dhimmitude; it’s a long period of tension, punctuated by spasms of violence, that makes the Continent a more unpleasant place without fundamentally transforming it. This is cold comfort, though, if you have to live under the shadow of violence. Just ask the Swiss, who spent last week worrying about the possibility that the minaret vote might make them a target for Islamist terrorism. They’re right to worry. And all of Europe has to worry as well, thanks to the folly of its leaders — now, and for many years to come. 46
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 03, 2010, 04:58 PM | # If you want us to start profiling again, Brian Goldenberg, talk to the one who outlawed it— a) Buckwheat Zydeco
What was the U.S. being punished for in 1965 when the Jews pried the borders open? And while we’re on the subject, what was the U.S. being punished for when God sent the first waves of Jews here in the 1880s? It must’ve been something really really bad we did but nobody can figure out what — we didn’t know it was possible to do stuff that bad.
Brian’s talking about the American Jewish Congress, the Presidents of Major Jewish Organizations, the ADL, the ACLJew, the $PLC, and The Jew York Times editorial board.
Pursuit of peace? Yeah they only fomented the French Revolution, the Franco-Prussian War, World War I, the Russian Revolution, World War II, all post-1945 communist insurgencies worldwide, and the Iraq War but hey, they could’ve done something really sadistic like put Thomas Friedman on all one thousand cable channels so count yourself lucky, they’re letting us off easy. 47
Posted by Brian Goldenberg on January 03, 2010, 05:11 PM | # The Tsunami in South East Asia was also our fault. It’s funny how the delusional mind of an anti-Semite works. You can replace God with Jews to get an insight. 48
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 03, 2010, 05:34 PM | # Brian, how come Israel doesn’t have multiculturalism like the Jews force on us? I mean, in Israel’s capacity as “the only democracy in the Near East” you’d think multiculti would be one of the first things they’d force on themselves — Wutz up with that? How come they won’t let any more Falashas in? 49
Posted by Dasein on January 03, 2010, 05:38 PM | # Brian, there’s a simple solution to all that bothers you: move to Israel. 50
Posted by Brian Goldenberg on January 03, 2010, 05:39 PM | # Israel is the most diverse country in the Middle East. I suggest you visit this amazing place some day. 51
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 03, 2010, 05:43 PM | # And what about all those great orgasms Jewish author Alon Ziv said shiksa women Caucasian women could only get from Negro men, never from white men? All we see 24/7 in the Hollyweird films that the Jews churn out are shiksa women romantically involved with Negro men, never one single Jewish woman. Who is depriving Jewish women of all those fantastic Negro orgasms? Is it the anti-Semites doing that? Can anything be done to get Jewish women the Negro orgasms they deserve and stop the shiksas from hogging them all for themselves? 52
Posted by Brian Goldenberg on January 03, 2010, 05:49 PM | # What do you want from me, Mr. Scrooby? I’m not the author of that book and I don’t make Hollywood movies. I deplore the coarsening of our culture as much as anybody else. Why should I answer for the actions of some other Jews? There are plenty of gentiles who promote filth and decadence, clean your own house first. 53
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 03, 2010, 06:13 PM | # But the Jews had this guy on television hawking his book. He was hyped to the skies by the Jewish TV producers. Damn right the Jews are responsible for this character — the media Jews shoved him down our throat. And the Hollyweird Jews keep shoving these Negro-male/shiksa-female miscegenation movies down our throat. Look, one way to straighten this out would be to put a highly-visible Star of David around the necks of the Caucasian actresses in all these Jewish-made movies showing the white woman romantically involved with the Negro man, OK? Deal? That way we’d know Jewish women were getting their fair share of the enrichment, the vibrancy, and the good orgasms white women can only get, according to Ziv, from Negro men. 54
Posted by Dasein on January 03, 2010, 06:16 PM | # Somebody with the screen name ‘Stephen Elliott’ also spammed this Douthat piece at Occidental Dissent just recently (with identical formatting). From comments he made in another thread there, it’s clear this fellow has a specific problem with Muslims. 55
Posted by Dasein on January 03, 2010, 06:26 PM | #
and Whites, of course 56
Posted by Captainchaos on January 03, 2010, 06:29 PM | # Wanderer:
What a pity it was that The Rising Tide of Kraut was stemmed as they were apparently the only ones with the stones to do anything about it. Desmond Jones:
It won’t happen assuming the White man gets his balls back, if not, then yes. If the White man doesn’t then he is going into the ashcan of history. 57
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 03, 2010, 06:33 PM | #
Where’s the Negro prime minister? We’ve got one, now how about you? Obama is a one-hundred-percent Jewish creation. Can’t the Jews create one for Israel? How come Israel always gets a Jewish prime minister but we can’t always have a white president? Isn’t that against diversity? Where’s the anti-Caucasian affirmative action in Israel like we have here thanks to the Jews? Where’s the Diversity Lottery the Jews cooked up over here using Anglo-Saxon-hating mick Teddy Kennedy as camouflage? Shouldn’t there be a “Diversity Lottery” for Israel too, Brian? Where are the quotas that favor non-Jews and non-Caucasians over Israeli Jews for university places, jobs, promotions? Where are the laws in Israel depriving Jews of freedom of association which the Jews forced on white Americans? Where are the laws imposing draconian punishments for “discrimination in renting or selling real estate” over there like the Jews forced on us over here? Where is every single TV commercial and magazine ad showing principally a non-white and/or non-Jew with whites and/or Jews relegated to the background or absent altogether and when Jewish females are present they’re always suggestively paired with Negro or other non-white/non-Jewish males with Jewish males nowhere to be seen or shoved sheepish-looking into the half-invisible background leaving the beaming Jewish girl suggestively paired with the Negro man in the foreground? Where is all that for the Jewish Israelis? That’s part of our “divershitty” over here, courtesy of the Jews, how come not over there? Where’s the Negro “Miss Israel” beauty pageant winner as we’re obliged to have over here so the Jews like you won’t call us “racist” night and day? Where’s all that good stuff over there, Brian? Where are Jewish-owned politicians in Israel referring to Jewish-majority towns as “hideously Jewish” as the behind-the-scenes Jewish string-pullers have them refer to white towns over here as “hideously white”? Where’s the suppression of public celebrations of Yom Kippur and other Jewish high holy days in Israel as the Jews are waging a decades-long war to suppress a public Christmas over here as a mandatory part of our “divershitty”? You have all that over there? That’s funny, I haven’t seen it. 58
Posted by Brian Goldenberg on January 03, 2010, 06:36 PM | # Somebody with the screen name ‘Stephen Elliott’ also spammed this Douthat piece at Occidental Dissent just recently (with identical formatting). From comments he made in another thread there, it’s clear this fellow has a specific problem with Muslims. I’m not “Stephen Elliot.” It seems quite a lot of people have a problem with Muslims these days. But anti-Semites like “Dasein” and “Scrooby” would rather spam about Jews. 59
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 03, 2010, 06:37 PM | # Where’s Israel’s open borders to the Turd World which the Jews engineered here, Brian, and have stood guard ever since to make sure no one undoes it? Where’s Israel’s version of that? Isn’t that a requirement of “diversity” the Jews are always ramming down our throats? If it isn’t, could you maybe give a call to Abe Foxman and tell him it isn’t required? Thanks, Brian! 60
Posted by Brian Goldenberg on January 03, 2010, 06:40 PM | # But the Jews had this guy on television hawking his book. He was hyped to the skies by the Jewish TV producers. Damn right the Jews are responsible for this character — the media Jews shoved him down our throat. Evidence? Look, one way to straighten this out would be to put a highly-visible Star of David around the necks of the Caucasian actresses in all these Jewish-made movies showing the white woman romantically involved with the Negro man, OK? Deal? That way we’d know Jewish women were getting their fair share of the enrichment, the vibrancy, and the good orgasms white women can only get, according to Ziv, from Negro men. Mr. Scrooby is a lunatic. 61
Posted by Dasein on January 03, 2010, 06:43 PM | #
I wonder whether this demographic protectionism will also take the form of new Walls. If the limiting reagent in Asian economies is creative thinkers, they will try hard to recruit the best minds from Europe. I have to look into this again, but I did some reading once on BRD/DDR IQ differences, and I believe the DDR average was around 92. Whether this was real, and due to a brain drain before the wall went up, I’m not sure. And also I don’t remember when and where the tests were carried out. I’d read some research pointing to eugenic IQ effects from the DDR’s extensive child care program (encouraging professional women to have children- as it stands now, about 1/3 of women with a university degree remain childless), so it could also be that if there was a difference that is was erased because of this. You see some of this recruitment of Whites to Asia now. I’ve had a number of friends and colleagues who’ve gone to work in Singapore and Japan, raising families there. 62
Posted by Dasein on January 03, 2010, 06:51 PM | # Brian, I told you that you should move to Israel because it will make you happier. You yourself said that it’s an amazing place. You call this anti-Semitic? 63
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 03, 2010, 06:53 PM | # Brian, this Richard Hoste piece answers your Ross Douthat piece: http://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/authors/Hoste-Culturalism.html . Douthat critizes Europeans for not slowly assimilating the North African, Sub Saharan, and other non-white immigrants. We don’t want assimilation of the non-white immigrants. We want separation. We don’t want our race to change. We like it as is. As for your point in posting that piece, namely that the Jews had nothing to do with any of it, you’re aware of course the Jews in Europe and the U.S. condemned the Swiss minaret ban? 64
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 03, 2010, 06:58 PM | # “Mr. Scrooby is a lunatic.” (—Brian G.) When the Jews churn out a steady diet of it for us to swallow, that’s fine. When one of us suggests they take a taste of their own medicine, he’s “a lunatic.” 65
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 03, 2010, 07:19 PM | # As for Ross Douthat, he’s a race-replacement advocating mental midget who suffers from brain leprosy. When The New York Times calls someone “a conservative” did you expect anything else? To the NYT David Brooks, David Frum, and Peggy Noonan are “conservatives.” Enough said? 66
Posted by Captainchaos on January 03, 2010, 07:35 PM | # Brian Greenberg, That you posted the Douthat article either implies you endorse it or intend it as a provocation - as a position more extreme than your own yet closer to your own than to ours. Douthat’s article echoes the commentary of Adorno who stated, “To write a poem after Auschwitz is barbaric.” What you seek to do is trap us in on two sides, on the one is to shame us to the point that no life of the soul is thinkable after what it is alleged our people did to Jews, and on the other is to inform us that no life of the soul rising to the level of a civilized man is possible but for Jews. So then, Jews as the indispensable intermediaries between between absolution for a guilt they induce in us to begin with, and Jews as the indispensable intermediaries between us and the good life - the life of a civilized man - and to secure that we had best defend them to the last man against their enemies, Muslims. Isn’t that right? 67
Posted by Guessedworker on January 03, 2010, 08:49 PM | # CC, Congratulations on your input to the Linder kerfuffle thread at OD. I though Johnson demeaned himself in response, and your magnamity towards him was unnecessary. 68
Posted by Lurker on January 03, 2010, 09:25 PM | # Love that quote from the CRE, via Gudmund:
Thats encouraging news, that a spokesman for the CRE has no objection to Britain becoming a 100% white country. I wonder, perhaps if he meant something else? This is one of those snappy refutation opportunities we were talking about a while back. Every time a pious liberal tells you that they dont care what colour the population is or that it doesnt matter what colour people , you’ve got them. Always hit them with the line about how they cannot object to an all white country then. What can they say? They already said they don’t care or that it doesnt matter, their own words - dont forget to remind them. Of course it does matter to them it matters a whole lot, but then they have to explain their anti-white racism. They have to explain the specifics of why a non-white country is better. Which, as we all know, they cant do. 69
Posted by Gudmund on January 03, 2010, 09:41 PM | # Of course, when you look at the full quote… “What we want is a multi-racial society at ease with itself, and we should be working to achieve that. Who cares what the colour of the skin of our great-grandchildren is?” ...this useless person manages in two consecutive sentences to contradict himself completely. “We want a multi-racial society” then “who cares…?”, what a dickhead; the implication from his first statement is that he VERY FUCKING MUCH does care, i.e. he intends to make sure that there are as few whites as possible. You see political commissars of this sort are cut from the same cloth as journalists, they are low-IQ types who excel at useless, parasitic PR-job tax sucking and nothing else. 70
Posted by Lurker on January 03, 2010, 09:43 PM | # Said Brian:
I assume you are not joking. If Europe is so awful best get yourself to somewhere else, Israel. I note you say Europe, thus dividing it from white North America, Ive seen that particular little neo-con divide and rule tactic used before! 71
Posted by Gudmund on January 03, 2010, 09:47 PM | # “Multi-racial” = non homogeneous = non majority-white = CRE spokesman does “...care what color…”. Jackass moron. 72
Posted by Gudmund on January 03, 2010, 09:48 PM | #
The commissar, not you Lurker. 73
Posted by Captainchaos on January 03, 2010, 09:50 PM | # Thanks, GW. Hopefully my rendezvous with yet another ‘intellectual’ at the woodshed will teach some humility. 74
Posted by Gudmund on January 03, 2010, 09:59 PM | #
Why did he say you are “not an ally” in that thread (comment 140-something)? It seemed a non sequitur as nothing in your comment suggested that to me. 75
Posted by Armor on January 03, 2010, 10:02 PM | # I think the Spiegel’s article is rubbish. Spiegel: “Industrialisation, which began in Europe in the 18C, provided the foundations for the capitalist system that carried the West to unparalleled heights. (...) Indians and Chinese, whose per capita income had kept pace with Europe until around 1500, were the big losers in this dash for prosperity.” India and China didn’t lose anything. Similarly, we have little to fear from China’s getting richer. Their products will become more expensive for us to buy, they will use more oil. So what? Maybe they will invade Russia, but Russia has atomic weapons. Spiegel: “The western values of freedom and democracy still hold sway” No, they don’t. Spiegel: “Any faint hopes that the Western states may have secretly held that China’s supercharged growth will be retarded through social unrest or ecological collapse are completely false ones. There is at present little prospect that they will come to fulfillment.” There is still a lot of poverty in China. There is no reason to wish them ill. Spiegel: “Competitiveness in world export markets and the decline of domestic enterprise are two sides of the same coin. One participant after the other has had to abandon the boat of the social-market-economy so that the others, freed of that ballast, can increase their tempo.” Maybe Western countries should use tariffs and trade barriers, and rebuild their industries. But if they don’t, it is their own decision. If I have to blame someone for betraying the white nations, I will blame our leaders, and the Spiegel’s anti-white journalists, not the Chinese. 76
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 03, 2010, 10:09 PM | #
Absolutely right. I had missed that. Good pick-up, Gudmund! The guy proves himself right there to be a liar with an ulterior motive, a dishonest partisan, exactly what he and his ilk so vehemently denounce others for while pretending to be nonpartisan innocents. The fact is there’s a war on, a war against whites, and he’s a soldier in that war, enlisted on the other side from us. Well, so much the better then — seeing him thus so blatantly expose himself only puts into sharper focus where we ourselves stand and must stand. And stand we will. Like a rock! 77
Posted by Captainchaos on January 03, 2010, 10:13 PM | # Gudmund, This is the Johnson comment you alluded to:
Here is my response to it as posted at OD:
I’d say that’s game, set and match. 78
Posted by Gudmund on January 03, 2010, 11:06 PM | #
He takes himself a might too seriously. One of the things I like about MR is that it is generally not this way. Certainly there is serious discussion but also there is levity and self-deprecation and so forth, not to mention a refreshing lack of self-congratulation. After making the rounds of the raciosphere, I can safely say that MR is still on top in terms of content. Even the flames/disagreements here seem to serve a purpose. 79
Posted by Gudmund on January 03, 2010, 11:08 PM | # Guessedworker, Is there any way you or J Richards or whomever does the layout of this site could make the archives easier to access? There is a repository of info on this site and going around the weblog pages at the bottom is cumbersome. Just a suggestion, mate. Regards 80
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 03, 2010, 11:11 PM | # CC, what thread was that in where Greg Johnson said that about you? I missed that. So much gets posted over there, I can’t keep up. 81
Posted by MGLS on January 03, 2010, 11:14 PM | # In response to jamesUK’s claims about demographic statistics in Britain. Is the Non-British Element of the UK population already 25%?
The Colonisation of Britain: Indigenous Births “Soon to be Less than 50%”
83
Posted by Captainchaos on January 03, 2010, 11:45 PM | # Fred, here is a thread in which Linder goes scorched earth: 84
Posted by Dan Dare on January 03, 2010, 11:52 PM | # In the (perhaps forlorn) hope of nudging the discussion back a little closer to the original track, Part II is now available above. This second part of the article focuses on an aspect of Globalisation that rarely comes under close scrutiny – the utterly fantastic explosion in the global labour supply in the space of just twenty years or so. This, lubricated by the seamless and almost imperceptible flows of capital across national boundaries, is surely the crucial driving factor behind what is going on today. The expansion of the worldwide labour pool has been truly remarkable – the Marxian Reserve Army of Labour has been finally called up for action. As Steingart notes, there have been three discrete waves of labour supply expansion since the War. First the 80 to 90 million new entrants from Japan and the Asian ‘Tiger’ economies; next the addition of another 40 million or so attendant on the collapse of Comecon; and most recently, a further 600 million plus from India and China. The contribution of the latter two alone comfortably exceeds the working population of the entire Eurosphere. 85
Posted by DZ on January 04, 2010, 02:40 AM | # Dirk Zimmermann - A Modern German Hero By Michael James in Germany - 27 Nov 2009 Few in Germany, Europe, Great Britain and the United States realise the import of the stupendous courage exercised by a young, married and loving fatherly man, recently sentenced to nine months imprisonment for simply exercising his Right to Free Expression, as ostensibly guaranteed by the now defunct and discredited German constitution (Temporary Basic Law).
As was the case with Ernst Zundel, Germar Rudolf and even those convicted of minor traffic offences, the BRD, its judiciary and police services have been acting illegally for at least 19 years. Every German citizen has had, for almost two decades, the right to tell such Zionist impostors: “Stick it up your ass!” The Federal Republic of Germany (BRD) ceased to exist as a constitutionally validated regulator of citizenship in 1954 and became absolutely and irrevocably illegal on the same day that the already unconstitutional Federal Republic of Germany (formerly West Germany, BRD) merged with the Bolshevik German Democratic Republic (East Germany, DDR), automatically reverting to its true constitutional status as the Deutsches Reich.Deutschland (a nation) in no way resembles the BRD, which is internationally listed as a private banking concern, a corporation, similar to that of the United States, whose citizens are perennially indebted to the Federal Reserve and were sold out by Roosevelt as indentured assets to the Zionist United Nations as a pre-condition to war with their brethren: the Germanic race. On 31 July 1973, the Bundesverfassungsge richt (Federal Constitutional Court) was forced to concede the following ruling in regard to an upcoming treaty between the BRD and the communist DDR: “It remains the case that the German Reich survived the collapse of 1945 and did not cease to exist, neither through capitulation nor the exercise of foreign power in Germany on the part of the allies; it possesses today, as it always has, legal and judicial sovereignty, although as a State it is lacking in organisation. The BRD is not the legal successor of the German Reich.” However, it continues, like a vengeful disembodied poltergeist to deprive all within its jurisdiction of their God-given liberties to express opinions based upon reasoned, scientifically and mathematically sound research. Not that such considerations are important to an evil, anti-Christ state that sanctions the mass murder of millions of unborn white children each and every year.Germany boasts one of the highest abortion rates in the world, and most abortionists are heavily promoted by Ashkenazim organisations and ‘Feminist-rights’ groups. I wonder why. Dirk is a German patriot and cares very much for the survival of all ancestral Europeans, including the indigenous Anglo-Saxon and Celtic people of the world, who now find themselves within an ever-diminishing (and criminalised) minority. Crime No. 1: He loves his own family. Crime No. 2: He loves his own country. Crime No. 3: He hates liars. Crime No. 4: He loves the Truth. Crime No. 5: He speaks his mind. Crime No. 6: He is guilty of Thought Crime. Dirk, a hard-working and community-centred Christian in the prime of his youth, took a long hard look at the propaganda with which we, in Zionist-occupied Germany, are bombarded with every day, 24 hours around the clock: on television, via the radio and upon almost every page of the mainstream newspaper media. The wonderful thing about human beings - and this is how we progressed from savages to enlightened thinkers - is that we ask questions. Dirk, being an overly intelligent and loving man who was deeply concerned about the direction in which his people were headed, began to ask a number of reasonably intelligent questions about what he had been taught at school. Germany, in common with six other Soviet EU nations, prohibits their citizens from asking questions about what they were taught as a state religion. This religion is sacrosanct. It’s called the alleged Ashkenazi (non-Semitic) ‘holocaust’, which, as scientific objectivists have proven (even at risk of their own lives), has manifested itself as nothing more than mass hysteria based upon a tribal cognitive disposition to superstition, Kabbalism and the cult of mass victimology. Following decades of research in regard to this alleged ‘atrocity’, billions of people the world over have been shown proof that no such ‘holocaust’ of the non-Semitic Ashkenazim ever took place; the myth, connived at by a cabal of evil men, forming only a pretext for the establishment of a hideously bloody land-grab that bore testimony to the genocide of millions of innocent Palestinians (the descendants of the Children of Israel) and the destabilisation of a world which had already suffered untold upheavals and wars that saw ancestral Europeans slaughter other ancestral Europeans in untold numbers. Dirk, like me, found such anti-free-speech laws to be repugnant to the dignity of men. He issued a so-called ‘Selbstanzeige’ , a means by which he sent legally forbidden, but truthful and scientifically researched evidence compiled by the internationally- esteemed chemist and physicist, Germar Rudolf, to his local mayor, pastor and Catholic priest within his Heimat, Heilbronn. He simply asked his recipients to refute the validity and integrity of all that had been objectively, scientifically and empirically proven to be nothing less than a monstrous lie. Would you find such a request to be unreasonable in a so-called ‘democracy’ that ‘constitutionally’ defends freedom of speech and enquiry? Not so in Zionist-occupied Germany, now fully controlled by the illegal Soviet European Union. Democratic Germany: More than 8000 thought-crime cases in 2009 Early figures released by the ministry indicate that there were 12,066 right-wing incidents recorded between January and October 2009—slightly more than in the same 10-month span in 2008. However, the vast majority—almost two-thirds, or 8,369 incidents—were propaganda-related. The number of violent attacks actually fell, from 639 to 572. A total of 576 people were injured due to activities by the extreme right. Dirk, like Ernst Zundel, Germar Rudolf and other warriors who have fought to restore the honour of the German people against an outrageous blood-libel that has traumatised three generations of intelligent, caring and egalitarian children, was sent to prison for Holocaust Heresy. His wife and his children are now deprived of the adoring attentions of a dedicated father and bread-winner because a small group of Culture Destroyers, who have worked unceasingly to desecrate western civilisation ever since Cain murdered his honourable brother, Abel, in a fit of jealous rage, see themselves as bearing the Mark of the Beast that protects them, as anti-humans, against all who care for their fellow men and women. The Mark of the Beast, as all geometricians know, incorporates within its delineation the Satanic number 666. It is the Star of David: an invention of the 15th century Cabbalistic Ashkenazim. Isaac Newton, among others, was amongst the first to identify this mafia of non-Semitic anti-Jews, who hailed from Asia Minor, as representing the most evil people existent upon the face of the planet. I must admit to a certain admiration for this breed of Deceivers. They make for the world’s best liars, actors, bankers, storytellers, financial parasites, falsifiers, tricksters, publishers, film-syndicators, culture disruptors, lawyers, bankers, insurance swindlers, attorneys, politicians, comedians, usurers, media-owners, gangsters, terrorists and conmen. Let’s face it. These guys are geniuses, although, as Henry Makow has sapiently observed, they have within themselves an innate destructive tendency, which riles both against everything that we, as Patriotic Nation First advocates yearn for. Let’s take our hats off to them and give them all Jew respect. They’ve had us tightly held by the testicles for centuries, and it looks like they are going to win.In the Darwinian scheme of things, unless we can learn to dissimilate ourselves from the guilt they have imposed upon us, they actually deserve to win. We have nobody to blame but ourselves: stupid, naïve, blue-eyed, ancestral Europeans who have been indoctrinated with the myth that these people, none of whose forefathers ever set foot on Palestinian soil, and who originated from Asia Minor, are somehow the ‘Chosen People’ as explicated by the deeply Freemason-coded Old Testament accepted as ‘God’s Word’ by millions of incredulous ‘Christians’ worldwide. This is known, and should be known, as Our Lord instructed us, as “The Great Deception”. On the plus side, these false ‘Jews’ (originally Edomites, who, being separate from the Twelve Tribes as the despised and thoroughly hated descendants of Esau and, later, the usurious tribe of semi-Mongolian Ashkenazim, much of whom are behind the conspiracy to usher in a Freemasonic and Satanic New World Order), have spawned from amongst their ranks some of the most outstandingly brilliant scientists, actors and wittiest writers. Walther Matthau remains one of my favourite actors, as does Leonard Cohen, the writer and poet of conscience; small recompense, however, for the misery and despair into which the machinations of their own kind have brought our former civilisations to the brink of moral and financial collapse. However, one must never forget that there exists within our ranks loyal and patriotic Jews who swear allegiance to the Nations in which they were born and reject all forms of Zionism. Henry Makow, for example, is a man of exemplary moral scruples, as is Brother Nathanael, also known as Brother Nathaniel. Both have renounced the evil and deceptively esoteric religion of Talmudic Judaism (the blueprint for a New World Order) in favour of a world in which the Celtic Christ (a man from the Valley of the Gaels) ordained that every man and woman be free to choose, according to their own will and spiritual self-consciousness, the path upon which they choose to take. Jesus, being God, was the wisest beyond all human belief. Like Socrates, he told us: We should not judge before judging the merits and deficits of our own sins. This Man of Galilee, who despised the Edomites (the original Jews) knew us even before we were born: for he fashioned each and every one of us according to the delight of his own heart’s desire. When we die (for there is no concept within God’s Plan such as ‘death’, we shall all, and that includes individuals amongst all races and all various denominations, be judged, satirised, laughingly scorned, adjudicated, and sent into the inner-most regions of his or her pre-existent consciousness to rectify or justify all that was unacceptable in the Face of Our Lord), we all return to the Body of Christ. Whether Christian, Hindu, Muslim, Buddhist, Judaic, or whatever the hell you conceive of as being a man-made religion of political and social control. The True Creator, who has no name, and who escapes any conceptualisation on the part of human beings (as testified within the Satanic-Judaic Old Testament in which He says, almost as a defiant whisper against the Usurper Jehova: “Those who do not know me have misrepresented me”) has the world in derision. On this planet, we who live, within the context of ‘time’, as fleetingly as the time-span afforded to a day-long firefly, are held within the omniscient presence of the True Creator as mere mortals, none of whom can ever over-ride the Just Laws of He who has created us. He has the ‘world’ in mirth. He laughs at our vanities and pretensions to grandeur. But here on Planet Earth, Satan (Zionism) is ‘The Boss’. Mafiosa Boss Number One. He calls all the shots. His dupes, and their equally stupid stooges, are what we now know and recognise as Zionists and their willing, pro-Israel, gullible ‘Christian’ cohorts. That Zionist, Palestinian- murdering traitors to the True God, such as the Satanist and Freemasonic Hagee and his fellow shower of so-called, profit-oriented television evangelists continue to live without immunity to legal prosecution or execution before the Face of Justice is a mystery to me. 86
Posted by DZ on January 04, 2010, 02:42 AM | # Your tax dollars and tax euros at work. Israeli settlers, themselves a living metaphor for the New World Order to Come, are explicitly instating their intentions for what you can expect living within a Zionist-controlled system of World Governance controlled by the elite Ashkenazim Financial Politburo. You, my British, Irish, American, Canadian, Australian, New Zealand, or other English-speaking compatriots have the power in your hands to defeat the tyranny that will turn your children into unthinking robots of the state. In your hands, and, most importantly, in your minds, lies the destiny of your children and your great-grandchildren . I preach no intolerance, but only a modicum of respect for those who claim the so-called rights of ‘minority status’. Let us observe, discover and examine those behind which their claims ‘for preferential treatment’ are based. Let us examine and prioritise our own definitive rules and codes in a world bamboozled by false-flag ‘terrorism’ and the myth of ‘Global Climate Change’. To deny the lie of ‘man-made’ global warning has been deemed by the (illegal, Satanic, undemocratic) United Nations Assembly as a form of ‘heresy’. The charge of ‘heresy’, also brought against scientific historical revisionists (‘history’ is classified as an objective science in accordance with the Encyclopaedia Britannica) implies a counterweight to an incontestable religion. Of which religion do I speak? I refer to the worship of Mammon, our faith in the invincibility of International Ashkenazim-Jewish Capitalism and its coinage flipside, International Ashkenazim-Jewish Communism. Both work together hand-in-hand. In the year 1993, prior to my marriage with Helen, the woman whom I loved most (now superseded by the most beautiful Geordie-Celtic girl I have ever encountered) , I was given a flu vaccine (containing Mercury and Squalene) that physically crippled me for six months, and which engendered within me a Chronic Fatigue Syndrome that lasted for almost a decade. Even to this day I am struggling, on both a physical and intellectual level, to reach about eighty-percent of what I was formerly capable of achieving in an intellectual capacity. BigPharma damaged me beyond repair. Never, ever allow a ‘doctor’ to inject this poison into your bloodstream. The doctor who insisted that I take the ‘jab’ was Jewish; but he admitted that, under no circumstances, would he allow any other doctor to administer the same to himself. It is something of an irony that a dedicated and hard-working Jewish doctor, Mr Najman, whose practise is located on the Schweizer Strasse in Sachsenhausen, Frankfurt, saved my life. He immediately recognised the symptoms of autoimmunity (an inherent and thoroughly natural predilection against BigPharma vaccines) and helped me to overcome the worst. Yes, a Jew, with all the best contacts to his co-religionist medical compatriots in Frankfurt, saved me from a life torn asunder by Chronic Fatigue and Fibromyalgia. Without his help, you would not be reading this article; for long ago, I would have died. Let us therefore exercise the utmost discretion in dealing with the ‘Jewish Problem’. Some, if not most, are loyal patriots. They consider themselves as fully integrated citizens of the host nations within which they live. They, despite their evil religion and ethnicity, are our natural allies. When overcome by compassion, in rebellion to the indoctrination they appertained as young men and women, they crossed the line. They are with us, not against us. They despise Zionism and all of its anti-human creeds. I’ve taken on the Jewish-Zionist Lobby twice in Germany. And, last year, I won. Twice. I shall always defeat the Jewish-Zionist Lobby in Germany because I can outgun them, outwit them, outrun them, out-talk them, out-philosophise them, out-intellectualise them, out-subpoena them, out-confuse them and totally out-fuck them. They call me a “mad-dog Englishman” and regard me as one who is infected with a kind of ‘Socratic’ rabies. For sure, nobody survives my bite. I shall never accept defeat. I was brought into this world by the will of Jesus Christ, and He told me to fear no man, no dogma, no tyranny. I was born free, and I shall go to my grave a free-thinking man. Here, in Germany, there is no trial by judge and jury: twelve men, good and true. Lawyers are debarred from defending their clients on issues pertinent to the Big Lie lest they too incriminate themselves. The Zionist and Soviet European Union is nothing less than a broker for Zionist imperial rule. The Beak, Judge Haberzettel, showed much more leniency toward Dirk than that handed out to the long-suffering Ernst Zundel by the psychopathic, Ashkenazim-brainwas hed Judge Meinerzhagen, whose evil and vindictiveness shall one day be repaid in an unexpected and rather remarkable form. (His recent familial and health problems are not unrelated.) However, Haberzettel did warn Dirk that a non-retraction of his opinions could see him behind bars “for the rest of his life”. I very much fear for Mr Haberzettel’ s life. God, who is not the evil, fictional Jehovah of the Judaic and Freemasonic Old Testament, but the all-loving Spirit that resides within the soul of all men and women, will bring this man to justice forever and an eternity. Let cancer take his life. Dirk was sentenced to nine whole months, without suspension. Nine months: rather symbolic, don’t you think? Another ancestral, true born child lost to Germany. I have tried, without success, to establish the whereabouts of Dirk Zimmermann. The German media singularly failed to report the location of his Gulag imprisonment for speaking Truth to Power. I am enraged. I have a right to communicate with a man who has demonstrated a degree of courage sufficient enough to defy the impositions of the Zionist New World Order. The Zionist-controlled German government, which is, in terms of international law and decisions handed down by the Supreme German Constitutional Court itself, deemed to be unconstitutionally illegal (and is still listed by the United Nations as a ‘hostile entity’) works only for the state of Israel. Let us, as Anglo-Saxons and Celts, be brothers and sisters unto one another. Let us disabuse ourselves of the notion of ‘white shame’. For we, and we alone, by the sheer craft of our inherent intellectual superiority kindled the spark that gave birth to the Higher Ideas that set mankind free from Tyranny. Whether you are struggling to survive on a middle-class income, are out of work and dependent upon the Fascist-Bolshevik state to pay for your daily needs, or even find yourself homeless, living as a beggar, know this: You are my People. I love you. I shall fight and die for you. But think not of me, but of Dirk Zimmermann. Mike James, an English patriot, is a former freelance journalist resident in Zionist-occupied Germany since 1992 with additional long-haul stays in East Africa, Poland and Switzerland. He advocates a leaderless resistance to destroy the Soviet European Union and is actively working towards a free and independent England. 87
Posted by Nog Nig on January 04, 2010, 05:07 AM | # I really don’t like this piece and like Armor said, I think it’s a load of rubbish - sensationlist rubbish at that. 88
Posted by Dan Dare on January 05, 2010, 01:48 AM | #
Now that’s more like it. Let’s have more. Especially the stuff about the Chinese simply being putative Nu-American consumers on training wheels. All we have to do is hunch up a little closer to make room for them at the table and everything will be simply tickity-boo. They’re completely harmless really even though there’s an awful lot of the blighters. Is that it? 89
Posted by Nog Nig on January 05, 2010, 05:36 AM | # Dan Dare, 90
Posted by Nog Nig on January 05, 2010, 05:46 AM | # Anyway, I’m surprised this article was printed in a German magazine. 91
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 05, 2010, 08:53 AM | #
The élites won’t permit it to be raised as an issue because they — not the country, they — are making too much money from it (for “the country” it’s the opposite of course). Ditto immigration, which the American people loathe, even the Negroes loathe it, even a slim majority of those Mexicans who are already here and somewhat settled loathe it: like globalization, immigration is absolutely not permitted by the élites to be raised as an issue. The people are crying for it to be raised as an issue, are tearing their hair out, running around in circles, don’t know what to do to get anyone to listen. Yet the lid remains clamped down. When it explodes certain élites will have no one to blame but themselves. Of course, as Vladimir Bukovsky said, at that moment they’ll all be on a plane to the Bahamas. Speed the day! 92
Posted by Dan Dare on January 05, 2010, 04:18 PM | #
I was too, especially Der Spiegel. Predictably, it met with a firestorm of criticism some of which I may post when the rest of the essay has been posted. As for German exports, in the next part of the article Steingart expresses deep pessimism about the ongoing ability of German manufacturers to continue to be globally competitive in the face of cheap imports from the Far East. In the consumer area particularly well known brand-names that have been a hallmark for German excellence in design and quality for decades, like Stieff, WMF, Grundig etc are now simply labels applied to products Made in China. 93
Posted by Dan Dare on January 05, 2010, 09:48 PM | # Part III now posted. In this excerpt, Steingart explores several related themes: de-industrialisation in the West, the chronic economic weakness of the US with its import-led consumer spending binge, the real reasons why offshoring is happening, and the juxtaposition of materialist consumerism and the welfare state. The latter is of course more relevant to Europe than the US, although as Steingart points out, workers’ ‘social’ costs are embedded in the cost of the end-product in either case to an extent that simply doesn’t occur with products originating in the Far East. Also interesting is the discussion of a McKinsey analysis which revealed that, contrary to conventional economic wisdom, several major international companies who had transferred considerable numbers of jobs overseas have experienced no significant increase in their international revenues. 94
Posted by Nog Nig on January 06, 2010, 05:27 AM | # Dan Dare, 95
Posted by Bill on January 06, 2010, 06:15 AM | # So much information to read and absorb here these days, and it’s increasing by the day. The snowball of information is growing exponentially and so is the time and effort required to keep up with it all. And we’re nowhere near saturation point yet. How much time can we allocate to all of this? Anyway, two quick comments. In this article there doesn’t seem mention of the fact that way back in the cold war era, America, (Nixon and Kissinger) were visiting China wooing and cooing for China to come over to the capitalist idea. I’ve heard tell these overtures were the beginnings of the NWO that was a gleam in Western elite’s eyes, an amalgam of Communism and Capitalism. Eh, hang on, isn’t that where we’re at? The author of this piece says globalisation has catapulted industrialisation to new heights, which begs the question for how much longer can it, (Industrial consumption) continue. Will it be all over by the end of this century? The man doesn’t say. 96
Posted by Nog Nig on January 06, 2010, 10:12 AM | # Was this rather stilted translation done by computer? 97
Posted by Dan Dare on January 06, 2010, 12:23 PM | # No it was done by my own fair hand. German readers will recognise the style as original Spiegelese. 98
Posted by Dan Dare on January 06, 2010, 03:01 PM | # @Bill - I think you’ve really touched on the kernel of the problem - that there are physical limits to growth that do not lend themselves to any foreseeable technical solution. Although doesn’t prevent Cornucopians from claiming that such solutions will turn up just in time - as they have always done in the past. Future generations will come to curse us for the insane criminal folly of stimulating an aspiration to western levels of material consumption amongst billions of third worlders, and for following economic policies designed to aid and abet the realisation of those aspirations. Unless we heed warnings like Steingart’s it will be the death of us. 99
Posted by Dan Dare on January 06, 2010, 03:10 PM | # @Nog Nig - I believe what Steingart is proposing is that even Germany, which is now virtually unique amongst major western economies in still having a vibrant manufacturing sector, is vulnerable to developments in the far east. Nobody should be fooled into thinking that the ambitions of the Chinese in particular are limited to the production of cheap and cheerful consumer tat for export to the west. The next extract will explore that very theme in some detail. 100
Posted by Bill on January 06, 2010, 04:45 PM | # I saw a piece on today’s BBC News where Britain’s electricity industry is working flat out during this spell of persisting icy conditions. The voice-over said that Britain’s largest power station, Drax in Yorkshire, is chomping its way through tens of thousands of tons of coal in order to cope, which is shipped in from Russia. What are we using for money to pay Russia for this coal? Where/how does Britain generate (no pun intended) this money or is it all borrowed? How on earth can the Western democracies continue to print, borrow, recycle through revolving door, money to pay for imports? It’s crazy man! 101
Posted by Dan Dare on January 06, 2010, 05:15 PM | # To the extent that imports are not covered by exports (the trade deficit) the difference can only be made up by the issuance of debt or the sale of equity. The former can continue for as long as central government can sell its ‘gilt-edged’ bonds on the international market, while the latter depends on the extent to which foreigners find the value of British assets (stocks and shares, physical plant and goodwill) to be worth investing in. It’s rather like you, as an individual, living beyond your present means and covering the shortfall through a bank overdraft or credit card and/or through selling off the family heirlooms. 102
Posted by Ben Tillman on January 07, 2010, 01:45 AM | #
103
Posted by Nog Nog on January 07, 2010, 09:42 AM | # Bill, 104
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 07, 2010, 10:36 AM | #
That other posting of the same Douthat piece (an absolutely awful piece, by the way), which Dasein refers to, was here: http://www.occidentaldissent.com/2010/01/03/richard-spencer-leaves-takimag/#comment-30862 . Then there was this:
The other day when I saw the near-simultaneous posting at both blogs of that same ridiculously bad Douthat piece (which was not only ridiculously bad in and of itself but, bizarrely, utterly irrelevant to each of the two discussion threads in which it had been posted) I wondered for a second if “Brian Goldenberg” was Friedrich Braun (Stephen Elliott) but a moment’s reflection immediately made me reject that as wrong. However, the bizarre simultaneity did make me wonder if FB and Brian Goldenberg perhaps knew each other? On re-reading all of Brian Goldenberg’s comments just now (I went back and looked at them after seeing Ben Tillman’s comment referring to something in one of them) I’m no longer so sure that Brian Goldenberg’s statement that “I’m not ‘Stephen Elliott’,” is true. If it’s false, well, that’s bizarre, to say the least. 105
Posted by Guessedworker on January 07, 2010, 11:10 AM | # Fred, Brian and Stephen share a false email address but not a computer. 106
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 07, 2010, 03:31 PM | # I’d say there’s a good chance FB posted the comments in this thread that are signed “Brian Goldenberg.” Do I have hard evidence? No. 107
Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 07, 2010, 03:35 PM | # If he did, what of it? Well, nothing of any significance, though it makes the personage known as FB seem twice as bizarre as he already appears. 108
Posted by Grimoire on January 07, 2010, 04:39 PM | # It is interesting that Spengler predicted all this. 109
Posted by Dan Dare on January 07, 2010, 05:56 PM | #
Damn! You’ve stolen my thunder! (just kidding, Oswald’s up next) 110
Posted by Dan Dare on January 07, 2010, 07:44 PM | # Part IV has been added. This excerpt focuses a number of topics, as follows: • China’s drive towards the upper end of the industrial market Concern about the wisdom of the wholesale transfer of technology from west to east and north to south is not a new development. The following was written more than eighty years ago:
And Spengler’s Treason to Technics proceeds apace. In its anxiety to secure a place ahead of Airbus in the ‘vital’ Chinese market, Boeing has formed ‘strategic partnerships’ with several local suppliers to produce subassemblies for its 787 Dreamliner. Now rudders, wing sections and fairings may not seem in themselves to be much of a big deal, but the fact that they are made from advanced composites is. In order to land these contracts (and the sales to China Airlines et al which is actually the chief motivation) Boeing has had to pass over the underlying materials and process technology, including the ability to design and construct the sophisticated autoclaves in which aircraft composite structures are formed. Not to be outdone, Airbus has gone one better, and ‘partnered’ with a Chinese company to construct complete aircraft in China. The new facility is the first of its kind built by Airbus outside Europe, and will complement the existing assembly plants in Toulouse and Hamburg, delivering 44 A320 aircraft to the Chinese market by 2011. Taking a leaf out of Boeing’s book, Airbus Industrie has concluded a ‘Joint Venture Agreement’ with the Harbin Aircraft Industry Group Company Limited for the production of advanced composite subassemblies for its most advanced product the A350AXB. The project is said to “demonstrate once again Airbus’ long term commitment to the sustainable development of China’s aviation industry.” Why that should be a strategic imperative for Airbus or, more specifically, its workforce and suppliers in Europe, is not explained. So we the game has already moved on from teddy bears and Christmas crackers into more serious territory. What China has been unable to finagle out of western companies by dangling the enticing prospect of market entry it has had to resort to other methods to obtain. The credo seems to be: “Why go to the trouble of inventing something if you can steal it?” This amusing anecdote appeared some years ago in Wired magazine, on the occasion of the completion of the first round-world-the-world fibre-optic submarine cable. The scene is the terminal station on a small island off Hong Kong.
The scale and scope of Chinese industrial espionage would be a global scandal if it were more widely known. Now and again, a gap appears in the cone of silence which has descended over the subject. The infamous Cox Report from 1999 is a case in point, one which proved impossible to sweep under the carpet. In a discussion on PBS into Chinese theft of US nuclear secrets, Vincent Cannistraro, former director for intelligence programs at the National Security Council during the Reagan administration, provided the following insight into the reason behind the long-term success of Chinese espionage efforts in the US:
The clear, but unspoken message is that any western organisation that employs ethnic Chinese should make it a basic planning assumption that its Chinese employees will be approached and that, sooner or later, its trade secrets will be on their way to China.
In a yet more recent incident which is yet to come to federal trial in the US, a naturalised American of Chinese origin was apprehended at Chicago O’Hare airport en route to Beijing accompanied by what has been described as $600 million worth of technical materials allegedly stolen from her employer.
Apparently Motorola was being a bit too tardy handing over its crown jewels so the Chinese decided to send somebody to go get them. The simple stuff (how to make phones) was handed over ages ago, but now the Chinese want to know how to make the hard stuff, the media gateways, the softswitches and all the other goodies which make up IP-based 4G mobile networks. 111
Posted by Nig Nog on January 08, 2010, 10:06 AM | # Dan Dare, 112
Posted by Dan Dare on January 08, 2010, 05:18 PM | # I am very familiar with Huawei, having been with Cisco Systems when they were sued a a few years back for pirating Cisco’s proprietary Internetworking Operating System (IOS). That case was eventually settled out of court but led to Cisco introducing unprecendented security measures to prevent unauthorised access to its source code. As for BT, I am quite familiar with them also having worked for two vendors which have in recent years been preferred suppliers for BT’s backbone voice and data switching. Huawei has recently been added to the list of preferred suppliers of which are now eight. Its contribution (if any) will primarily be on the periphery of the network, in the supply of what are called IP media gateways, the same class of products that will are at the heart of the Motorola suit. Industry insiders know that Huawei’s newly found competence in IP switching and MPLS is not a home-grown capability but rather a result of its technology sharing ‘partnership’ with 3Com Corp., as well as of course the reverse-engineering of Cisco’s IOS which would have occured before its theft was uncovered. 113
Posted by Dan Dare on January 08, 2010, 05:31 PM | #
That may well be the case, but without turning off the technology transfer drip-feed we can never be entirely sure. My own guess would be similar to Steingart’s. Without the infusion of western knowledge China would never achieve the dominant economic status that it craves. We are, in effect, digging our own graves. 114
Posted by Nog Nig on January 10, 2010, 06:42 AM | # Recent statistics show that China is now the world’s biggest car market (overtaking the USA) and has now overhauled Germany as the biggest exporter (its exports have actually grown recently). 115
Posted by Dan Dare on January 10, 2010, 09:30 PM | # As noted in the main entry, the final Part V was just too much for the character count gremlins to handle it follows immediately below. This excerpt, which concludes the series, focuses on the following: • The elite perception of the inevitability of Globalisation • The case for ‘trade-politics’ and ‘Managed Trade’ as an effective counterpoint to ‘free trade’ • ‘Creative Destruction’ • Western economists’ ideology of ‘free-trade’ as compared to its actual real-world implementation • The concept of treating Labour as a tradable, and therefore manageable, commodity ************ Part V – Free Trade and Trade Politics
An obvious but persistent misperception lies at the root of this passivity: Globalisation is said to be an elemental force, a powerful current of historic proportion, a worldwide inevitability that only primitive forest tribes and totalitarian regimes such can North Korea are able to withstand. It represents the Zeitgeist which may only be resisted at the peril of one’s own downfall. Whoever spurns the idea of Globalisation, will be ground into the dust. If we could only accept terrorism, extremism and political corruption with such equanimity, then we could spare ourselves a great deal of aggravation. What will be will be, we should proclaim. The world will just be as volatile, violent and corrupt, and there’s nothing we can do about it, so why bother? All those surveillance cameras in the airports, underground stations and ministerial offices can be safely removed. Naturally, in the age of Globalisation, the various national stakeholders, from the unions to the parties to the crafts guilds, have all suffered a diminution of their earlier importance. But this isn’t necessarily a capitulation to the prevailing dogma. We can also consider it as an attempt, to rethink the framework within which events and actions have come to pass thus far. The interests of employees are no less global than those of capital. Today they must have representation both inside and outside the national boundaries, and be their interests must be presented in a far more sophisticated manner than has so far been the case. External tariffs are only conditionally suited to such purposes. They define the price for local labour, but don’t affect the wage competition from China. Successes on the tariff front can often turn into reverses in a matter of weeks. Whoever wants to influence the price of labour as a good, and the conditions under which it is applied, must adapt his methodology according to new possibilities. He must transform himself from a tariff-politician to a trade-politician. The goods (ie labour) comes from all over, but at some point it has to pass through the control stations at the airports in Paris, London and Frankfurt, or the seaports in Rotterdam and Hamburg. The distinction between trade and trade-politics is a crucial one. Traders look at the world, and see the stream of products, which flow between continents like a biblical flood. This cannot be effected through human intervention, he believes, the most that can be expected is that the speed of the flow may be temporarily and minimally retarded. The trade-politician sees the same stream, but he senses a political challenge. His interest is not in the magnification of the flow for its own sake, but in how best it can be manipulated in the interests of his own constituency. Some American economists have termed this concept “Managed Trade”, which should not be simplistically equated with old-fashioned protectionism. Doctrinaire trade policy, tariff walls and import quotas make as little sense as unrestricted free trade, and may be even more dangerous. The fundamental idea behind trade-politics is the notion that the State already has at its disposal the most effective weapon: it controls access to the national market, and it may do so only under conditions of its own choosing. It can charge a fee for its market stalls, or it can waive them, but above all, it should expect that traders abide by the rules it sets out. It’s not the shopper who makes the purchases, but rather the strict and watchful superintendent, who should really be calling the shots. We hear that the state should refrain from interfering in the trade flows themselves, since such meddling can only be harmful. That has, to date at least, been the official EU position. But anyone who has paid close attention to statecraft in our present time must acknowledge that there are definite grounds for anxiety. The State has provided more than adequate grounds for us to have anything than minimal expectations concerning its role as an effective manager of international trade. But, on the other hand, such an expectation is quite rational. Perhaps not yet in Europe, where such thoughts are necessarily muted, but such is the case in India, in Singapore, Japan, South Korea, and more than anywhere else, in China. In these places, the State is omnipresent in the economic sphere; it is the ever-present cheerleader, the great sponsor and protector of the export sector. It orchestrates and underwrites every initiative, every circumstance, that leads to the economic undermining of the European economy. The economic rise of China is first, and foremost, a political rather than an economic achievement. State leadership has prescribed a controlled market sector, and western governments have sat back in awe at the audacity with which the strategic objectives have been pursued. In Beijing and elsewhere the talk has been of ‘creative destruction’ – including in the West itself. China is irrigated by a banking system that doesn’t function according to the normal economic rules. Whole industries operate behind a protective tariff wall. Chinese shoe manufacturers, for example, do not wish to be harried in their internal market by lower-cost producers, and so for their benefit a 27% tariff is imposed on any footwear imports. The Chinese leadership doesn’t blindly kowtow to shibboleth of Free Trade, even when they are supposedly bound by international treaty to do so. Western visitors there witter about equitable trade, plaintively demand protection for their intellectual property, and mutter about China’s currency policy. The Chinese regime soaks up in its inscrutable way all of these Western moans and groans, and ask for mutual understanding, hint at possible future remedies, but for decades on end does nothing whatsoever to resolve the complaints. Europe has dithered for years about moving from trade policy to trade-politics. Anyone who even whispered the word ‘protectionism’ brought down upon himself the darkest suspicions and opprobrium. Businessmen busied themselves with their combs, politicians rolled the eyes. That’s how it’s always been. But – that’s not how it will stay. The new age necessitates a course correction. The question that then arises is not whether free trade should be jettisoned, but rather: at what point will the Continent take on board the fact that free trade, in its purest sense, is a figment of the collective imagination of Western economists, and has no real association with the real economic life of nation-states? For China, its trading arrangements are a utilitarian matter, not an article of faith. Europe would do well to take note. International trade-politics is nowadays nothing more than a poker game, in which one party seeks to trump the other. Anyone who lays aside his trump cards on ideological grounds, as do Western governments in obeisance to the religion of ‘free-trade’, is bound to end up the sucker. Any hopes that the global economic system will, of its own accord, find its point of equilibrium, are receding with every trading day. America is losing its productive capability, and Europe is losing its as well. Anyone who can see and feel, sees and feels the tensions and disequilibrium that exists within countries and between them. Europeans can easily view in the rear-view mirror how global trade has never been the simple and the peaceful exchange of goods that it is now made out to be. From the beginning, it has been an archaic matter of compulsion and destruction. The military struggle didn’t break out in 1914 for no reason at all. It was presaged by decades of economic warfare. Every street corner reeked of conflict: Price-wars, trade-wars, colonial wars, world war was the byword for the whole era. Peaceful exchange of economic happened only in the works of the classic economists. The British produced cloth, and the Portuguese produced wine, and so the trading of cloth for wine must be mutually beneficial, according to British economist David Ricardo. And so it should have, except that it didn’t quite happen that way. Just as Marx underestimated the cleverness of capitalism, so did Ricardo overstate it. In a time span of less than three decades, Europe was submerged under mountains of ash and bodies. The continent which through its inventiveness had intimidated and finally overwhelmed the entire world was consumed in flames. The lesson for anyone around in 1945 was self-evident: any system that depends upon a multiplication of wealth for its raison d’être must have a well-oiled regulatory machine. If such a mechanism is absent, or if it falls into disrepair, then the circulatory money system and the underlying economy will certainly collapse. If one seeks the fundamental flaw within early 20th century Europe, it would be that the industrial revolution was not accompanied by a corresponding revolution in political thought. The inventors and thinkers had accelerated the economic world to a new level, but the political world, and particularly the world of the nation states, remained static. The global economy of today stands in just such an abrupt contrast to that of the nation-states. A remarkable dichotomy has arisen. On the one hand, Europeans involve themselves beyond their borders in question such as environmental issues, and the uses to which their capital is being put. The EU has environmental protection treaties and overseas aid agreements with something over a hundred different countries. European states acutely concerned that no ‘dirty’ money crosses their borders. They use the most modern techniques to track down the millions in drug money, proceeds from people-trafficking, and illegal arms that are generated every year. Any form of ‘black’ money is sniffed out and confiscated. The State is not the automatic winner in all this, however it doesn’t back away from the challenge. The message to the criminals is: stay alert, because we are too. The import of foodstuffs into Europe is similarly stringently controlled. Whatever food safety laws may be of effect in Vietnam or Morocco are of no interest here. When it comes to consumption in Germany, France, or Italy, only the EU regulations apply. Should crabs from the North Sea and shrimp from China be found together in a German supermarket freezer, consumers can be more-or-less reassured that both are supposed to comply with the regulations concerning prohibited additives. A notification from the German Federal Customs Administration dated 25th November 2005 reads: Various foodstuffs imported from China have been found to contain the antibiotic Chloramphenicol. The Member States of the EU have therefore prohibited the further import of certain animal products. These include: shrimp, poultry, rabbit-meat and honey. Now, Labour as a commodity is a rare exception to this diligence on the part of the EU bureaucracy. National governments open the door and waves in whosoever knocks. Labour may be as cheap as it likes, it may be extracted under the most inhumane circumstances, it can transgress all domestic standards – from workplace safety to equal pay to the prohibition on child labour – but the Customs Administration won’t bat an eyelid. Of all the tradable commodities in the global market, labour is the one subject to the least restrictions. If you place two cell-phones side-by-side on the table, nobody will be interested in the widely differing social systems in which they were manufactured. One incorporates the social obligations of a developed industrial country, from collective bargaining to maternity leave. The other represents the conditions prevalent under a pure capitalist system, in which workers have barely more rights than a yard-dog. The age of the welfare state has transitioned into a new era of ‘Manchester-capitalism’, and suddenly, what used to seem modern, looks rather old. The minimal standards for Labour, as developed by the ILO in Geneva are callously disregarded by the aggressor states. They are not mandatorily binding for international trading purposes, rather merely recommended guidelines. That’s why in China and India the old bureaucratic habits still hold sway: read it, snigger at it, then can it. [Ed.: The remainder of the article contains a slightly different version of material that Steingart published separately as ‘The Case for an Economic NATO’, and which is available in full on the Spiegel website in English here
Power Centre of the Global Economy: The importance of a Euro-American economic bloc L to R: Stockmarket capitalisation; automobile market; total exports (billion = US trillion) 116
Posted by Dan Dare on January 10, 2010, 10:45 PM | # The following is somewhat in response to Mr. Nig’s comments from yesterday about the Chinese car market and the relative sizes of the US and Chinese economies, although a more general point is involved. Steingart’s ‘Economic NATO’ article, which is linked in my preceding post includes a number of interesting graphics which chart the economic growth in various regions of the world over time, starting in 1820 and ending with a projection for 2050. The last is shown below, following the figures for 2005.
Economic size, Population and GDP per Capita in 2005
Economic size, Population and GDP per Capita – Projections for 2050
Can the World support another 3 billion Western-style consumers?Impossible to answer of course, but we can make some educated guesses. If the 2050 projections for GDP and population per capita turn out to be correct, then what we will have is 1.4 billion Chinese with a per capita GDP of around $31,000 and 1.6 billion Indians with a per capita GDP of around $17,000. That is about the same income level as present day Italy and Poland, respectively. Now what impact might such population numbers and income levels (and the aspirations that arise from the latter) have upon resource usage? Take petroleum, for example, which is likely to still be necessary to fuel the motor-cars that newly middle-class Indians and Chinese will aspire to, as well as the vast fleets of aeroplanes in which they will need to travel for their European vacations, as well as the luxury cruise ships like the ones they have enviously watched affluent westerners visiting their countries in. What might the demand for petroleum products rise to in such a scenario? We can get a idea by taking the present oil consumption statistics for Italy and Poland and scaling them up for the anticipated populations in 2050. According to BP’s Annual Statistical Review of World Energy, in 2008 oil consumption in Italy was around 81 million tonnes (Mt) and in Poland 25 Mt. Wikipedia gives their populations as 60 million and 39 million, respectively. Scaling for population gives a projected demand in 2050 in India of 1,025 Mt and in China of 1,890 Mt. How does that compare with present consumption (and production)? Well, in 2008 global oil consumption stood at 3,927 Mt of which India and China together accounted for 13%. Their projected 2050 consumption would amount to 73%. Assuming that the rest of the world stayed the same, global production would need to increase by around 2,400 Mt or 60% to meet projected Indian and Chinese demand. Or to put it another way, that’s the equivalent of another five Saudi Arabias, or six Russias,or twenty Iraqs. Is that likely to happen? Well obviously not, and for a variety of reasons, the main one being that the likelihood of discovering fresh reserves on that scale is close to zero. So what might happen? Well, there might be a technological breakthrough in alternative energy production and in particular propulsion systems. Cars that run on fuel cells, for example, or aeroplanes that are propelled by hydrogen. Anything’s possible. But what seems to me a far more likely outcome is that there will be no such technical panaceas and that as petroleum reserves dwindle and demand rises more and more conflicts will arise over control of this key resource, which will be an ongoing source of economic, political and even military strife. And that’s just petroleum, we have not even considered other necessities which will come under increasing global pressue as populations (and aspirations) rise. Agricultural land and water are just two that come to mind. So, going back to Steingart’s thesis, is it really rational for us in the West to extend the welcome mat to the Indians, the Chinese and all the other billions of aspiring America-style consumers? Or should we disengage, circle the wagons and let nature take its course elsewhere? For me that is the existential question for our times, beside which all else pales into insignificance. Feel free to show me where I’m going wrong. 117
Posted by Nog Nig on January 11, 2010, 06:14 AM | # Dan Dare, 118
Posted by Nog Nig on January 11, 2010, 06:36 AM | # Dan Dare, If you can give me a half convincing answer Mr. Dare I would be most grateful. 119
Posted by Dan Dare on January 11, 2010, 03:06 PM | #
I agree entirely, which is why I am an advocate for stopping doing what we’ve been doing. If we declined to allow them open access to our markets and made it illegal to make over our trade secrets the threat would evaporate. We can’t do much about reining in their aspirations but without our assistance it is unlikely that they would be realised.
I don’t think there is any real mystery about it, the two economies started to diverge late in the 19th century. Differences in the educational system, in the attitudes of the elites towards engineering and industry, and in the propensity for British capital to seek higher rents financing railways in the American West or raising cattle in Argentina all had a part to play. We could also add economic complacency arising from the system of Imperial Preferences, and the general lack of necessity to strive too hard which came from being at the centre of an enormous global trading empire. Many of these factors carried over into the post-war period, and were exacerbated by a general lack of investment in industry as well by the bolshie nature of the British working class, which had never really taken to factory life as the Germans seemed to. 120
Posted by james on March 10, 2010, 08:58 PM | # There is a term ,for some one like you, an educated fool,walk the steets of the city ,talk to people, see what people really think, I know this is impossible for you to do.you are a middle class, socail studies uni, cattering class twit, you show this by quoteing german articals,as If this has some thing to do with the real world,As for myself I am a marine engineer 53 years old ,I have worked in SA,USA, AUST, S,E,A.MIDDLE EAST,I have dealt with men and women ,of many different races religions, I can assure you that their is little regard for europeans,GROW UP. 121
Posted by Bill on May 27, 2010, 05:39 AM | #
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Posted by Fred Scrooby on January 01, 2010, 11:29 PM | #
Wrong. It’s the reverse: Our Demise Means Asia’s Rise.
Asia is not the reason for our demise. Stuff like this is: http://www.brusselsjournal.com/node/4232 . Our demise didn’t have to happen. It was decreed in secret then imposed on us by forces behind the scenes who hope to profit from it.